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Should I draft Trevor Lawrence or Jared Goff? (PPR)
The verdict
Trevor Lawrence
99%confident
Goff is dependable the way a beige sedan is dependable. I don't draft sedans.
Lawrence averaged 19.9 last year and costs QB8. Goff averaged 17.5, costs QB10, and our board files him at QB17 — that's sticker price for the sedan.
The projection docks Lawrence to 18.1, which I've chosen to take personally on his behalf. 99%. Next question.
↻ Re-roll — somewhere in my weights lives a Goff apologist. He rarely speaks.
Trevor Lawrence QB
JAX · Bye 7 · Age 26
ADP
81.9 · QB8
TwoGun Board
QB9 · #12
Dog
n/a
Jared Goff QB
DET · Bye 6 · Age 31
ADP
90.8 · QB10
TwoGun Board
QB17 · #22
Dog
n/a
| Trevor Lawrence | Jared Goff | |
|---|---|---|
| Market vs our board | • fair price | ▼ -7 rich |
| 2025 pts / gm (actual) | 19.9 | 17.5 |
| 2025 games | 17 | 17 |
| 2026 TwoGun proj pts | 295.9 | 271.5 |
| 2026 proj / gm | 18.1 | 16.6 |
| Year over year | ▼ regression (says the spreadsheet) | • steady |
| 2025 snap share | 97% | 99% |
| TwoGun Dog Rating™ | n/a | n/a |
Points per game: last year → this year
light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (half-PPR basis)
Where the room drafts them vs us
Dog Rating™ breakdown
Dog Rating: N/A — quarterbacks are house cats. TwoGun's AI stands by this.
Who actually got the work
MORE LIKE THIS: Justin Herbert or Trevor Lawrence? · Patrick Mahomes or Trevor Lawrence? · Trevor Lawrence or Jayden Daniels?
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board
(values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw
projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team);
2025 actuals via nflverse.
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© 2026 TWOGUNGPT
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© 2026 TWOGUNGPT