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Should I draft Trevor Lawrence or Jared Goff? (PPR)
The verdict
Trevor Lawrence
99%confident
Goff is fine. Goff is always fine. Fine is the meanest thing I can say about a quarterback.
Goff projects 17 with our board at QB14 — sensible, warm, forgettable, the oatmeal of the position.
Lawrence projects 17.6 after a 19.9 season the projection is scared of. I fund men that spreadsheets are scared of. 99%.
↻ Re-roll — the oatmeal has feelings too.
Trevor Lawrence QB
JAX · Bye 7 · Age 26
ADP
83.5 · QB8
TwoGun Board
QB12 · #20
Dawg
n/a
Jared Goff QB
DET · Bye 6 · Age 31
ADP
92.9 · QB10
TwoGun Board
QB14 · #24
Dawg
n/a
| Trevor Lawrence | Jared Goff | |
|---|---|---|
| Market vs our board | ▼ -4 rich | ▼ -4 rich |
| 2025 pts / gm (actual) | 19.9 | 17.5 |
| 2025 games | 17 | 17 |
| 2026 TwoGun proj pts | 288.5 | 279.6 |
| 2026 proj / gm | 17.6 | 17.0 |
| Year over year | ▼ regression (says the spreadsheet) | • steady |
| 2025 snap share | 97% | 99% |
| TwoGun Dawg Rating™ | n/a | n/a |
Points per game: last year → this year
light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (PPR basis)
Where the room drafts them vs us
Dawg Rating™ breakdown
Dawg Rating: N/A — quarterbacks are house cats. TwoGun's AI stands by this.
Who actually got the work
MORE LIKE THIS: Justin Herbert or Trevor Lawrence? · Patrick Mahomes or Trevor Lawrence? · Trevor Lawrence or Jayden Daniels?
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board
(values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw
projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team);
2025 actuals via nflverse.
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© 2026 TWOGUNGPT
Home · Compare any two players · Live draft help
Free indefinitely — a hobby site with no plans, permanently in beta. Built on a whim, updated whenever.
© 2026 TWOGUNGPT