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Should I draft Trevor Lawrence or Jayden Daniels? (PPR)
The verdict
Jayden Daniels
80%confident
Lawrence did everything right last year. So naturally I'm picking the other guy.
That's not fair to Lawrence — 19.9 a game, every game, and the projection still trimmed him to 18.1. In most rooms I bang the table for that.
But Daniels at QB9 when our board says QB5 is a four-spot gift, and 19.2 projected off seven games means the room is pricing the injury, not the player. I take mispriced. Every time. It's a sickness.
↻ Re-roll and the Lawrence table-bang might happen.
Trevor Lawrence QB
JAX · Bye 7 · Age 26
ADP
81.9 · QB8
TwoGun Board
QB9 · #12
Dog
n/a
Jayden Daniels QB
WAS · Bye 7 · Age 25
ADP
87.3 · QB9
TwoGun Board
QB5 · #7
Dog
n/a
| Trevor Lawrence | Jayden Daniels | |
|---|---|---|
| Market vs our board | • fair price | ▲ +4 value |
| 2025 pts / gm (actual) | 19.9 | 16.3 |
| 2025 games | 17 | 7 |
| 2026 TwoGun proj pts | 295.9 | 310.9 |
| 2026 proj / gm | 18.1 | 19.2 |
| Year over year | ▼ regression (says the spreadsheet) | ▲ step up |
| 2025 snap share | 97% | 90% |
| TwoGun Dog Rating™ | n/a | n/a |
Points per game: last year → this year
light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (half-PPR basis)
Where the room drafts them vs us
Dog Rating™ breakdown
Dog Rating: N/A — quarterbacks are house cats. TwoGun's AI stands by this.
Who actually got the work
MORE LIKE THIS: Justin Herbert or Trevor Lawrence? · Patrick Mahomes or Trevor Lawrence? · Patrick Mahomes or Jayden Daniels?
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board
(values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw
projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team);
2025 actuals via nflverse.
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© 2026 TWOGUNGPT
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© 2026 TWOGUNGPT