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Should I draft Nico Collins or Tee Higgins? (PPR)
The verdict
Nico Collins
99%confident
Two big-bodied bullies, one page. Nico's the one the meter trusts more and the market prices better.
Higgins is a 7-dog with a contested-catch business model I respect deeply. On half the boards in America this is a fair fight.
Nico's an 8, out-scored him half a point a game, and goes three spots earlier for reasons the numbers actually support. No drama, no overturn, just the better bully. 99%.
↻ Re-roll — Higgins wins the jump-ball version of this page.
Nico Collins WR
HOU · Bye 8 · Age 27
ADP
23.2 · WR11
TwoGun Board
WR11 · #62
Dog
8 /10
Tee Higgins WR
CIN · Bye 6 · Age 27
ADP
26.9 · WR14
TwoGun Board
WR16 · #69
Dog
7 /10
| Nico Collins | Tee Higgins | |
|---|---|---|
| Market vs our board | • fair price | ▼ -2 rich |
| 2025 pts / gm (actual) | 12.7 | 12.1 |
| 2025 games | 15 | 15 |
| 2026 TwoGun proj pts | 199.8 | 185.8 |
| 2026 proj / gm | 12.2 | 11.4 |
| Year over year | • steady | • steady |
| 2025 snap share | 77% | 81% |
| TwoGun Dog Rating™ | 8 / 10 | 7 / 10 |
Points per game: last year → this year
light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (half-PPR basis)
Where the room drafts them vs us
Dog Rating™ breakdown
Who actually got the work
MORE LIKE THIS: A.J. Brown or Nico Collins? · George Pickens or Nico Collins? · Chris Olave or Nico Collins?
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board
(values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw
projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team);
2025 actuals via nflverse.
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