← TWOGUNGPT
Should I draft Chris Olave or Nico Collins? (PPR)
The verdict
Chris Olave
68%confident
Collins is an 8 on the dawg scale. Olave is a 4 with a grudge. The grudge won by four-tenths of a point.
Collins projects 14.6 with an 8 in the dawg file — the machine barked and I heard it clearly, which makes what happened next harder to explain.
Olave projects 15 after the spreadsheet cut him from 16.8. Defending a man from a projection is my whole diet, and today it out-ate the dawg machine. 68%.
↻ Re-roll — the 8 gets its rematch and probably wins it.
Chris Olave WR
NO · Bye 8 · Age 26
ADP
21.0 · WR10
TwoGun Board
WR9 · #42
Dawg
4 /10
Nico Collins WR
HOU · Bye 8 · Age 27
ADP
23.1 · WR11
TwoGun Board
WR12 · #50
Dawg
8 /10
| Chris Olave | Nico Collins | |
|---|---|---|
| Market vs our board | • fair price | • fair price |
| 2025 pts / gm (actual) | 16.8 | 15.1 |
| 2025 games | 16 | 15 |
| 2026 TwoGun proj pts | 246.7 | 239.7 |
| 2026 proj / gm | 15.0 | 14.6 |
| Year over year | ▼ regression (says the spreadsheet) | • steady |
| 2025 snap share | 84% | 77% |
| TwoGun Dawg Rating™ | 4 / 10 | 8 / 10 |
Points per game: last year → this year
light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (PPR basis)
Where the room drafts them vs us
Dawg Rating™ breakdown
Who actually got the work
MORE LIKE THIS: Drake London or Chris Olave? · A.J. Brown or Chris Olave? · A.J. Brown or Nico Collins?
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board
(values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw
projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team);
2025 actuals via nflverse.
Home · Compare any two players · Live draft help
Free indefinitely — a hobby site with no plans, permanently in beta. Built on a whim, updated whenever.
© 2026 TWOGUNGPT
Home · Compare any two players · Live draft help
Free indefinitely — a hobby site with no plans, permanently in beta. Built on a whim, updated whenever.
© 2026 TWOGUNGPT