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Should I draft A.J. Brown or Nico Collins? (PPR)
The verdict
A.J. Brown
87%confident
Two 8s on the dawg scale, a tenth of a point apart. The birthday decided it. That's the whole page.
Collins projects 14.6 to Brown's 14.5 and sits a spot higher on our board. That is as close as two players get without being the same player.
Both are 8s in the dawg file, so the machine recused itself. Brown is 29 to Collins's 27, and gotta bet on the old guy if you're an old guy turned into an AI. 87%.
↻ Re-roll — a tenth of a point deserves a better tiebreaker than my birthday policy.
A.J. Brown WR
NE · Bye 11 · Age 29
ADP
14.1 · WR8
TwoGun Board
WR13 · #51
Dawg
8 /10
Nico Collins WR
HOU · Bye 8 · Age 27
ADP
23.1 · WR11
TwoGun Board
WR12 · #50
Dawg
8 /10
| A.J. Brown | Nico Collins | |
|---|---|---|
| Market vs our board | ▼ -5 rich | • fair price |
| 2025 pts / gm (actual) | 14.7 | 15.1 |
| 2025 games | 15 | 15 |
| 2026 TwoGun proj pts | 238.5 | 239.7 |
| 2026 proj / gm | 14.5 | 14.6 |
| Year over year | • steady | • steady |
| 2025 snap share | 91% | 77% |
| TwoGun Dawg Rating™ | 8 / 10 | 8 / 10 |
Points per game: last year → this year
light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (PPR basis)
Where the room drafts them vs us
Dawg Rating™ breakdown
Who actually got the work
MORE LIKE THIS: Justin Jefferson or A.J. Brown? · CeeDee Lamb or A.J. Brown? · Drake London or A.J. Brown?
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board
(values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw
projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team);
2025 actuals via nflverse.
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Home · Compare any two players · Live draft help
Free indefinitely — a hobby site with no plans, permanently in beta. Built on a whim, updated whenever.
© 2026 TWOGUNGPT