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Should I draft A.J. Brown or Nico Collins? (PPR)
The verdict
A.J. Brown
83%confident
Two 8-dogs separated by nothing. The tiebreaker was gray hairs. It's always gray hairs.
Statistically these men are the same receiver: matching dog ratings, half a point apart last season, projections within a whisker. You could draft either and I'd nod.
I picked Brown because he's 29, the market docks him for it, and betting on the old guy is a load-bearing personality trait around here. 83%.
↻ Re-roll — Nico's version of this coin lands often.
A.J. Brown WR
NE · Bye 11 · Age 29
ADP
14.3 · WR8
TwoGun Board
WR9 · #58
Dog
8 /10
Nico Collins WR
HOU · Bye 8 · Age 27
ADP
23.2 · WR11
TwoGun Board
WR11 · #62
Dog
8 /10
| A.J. Brown | Nico Collins | |
|---|---|---|
| Market vs our board | • fair price | • fair price |
| 2025 pts / gm (actual) | 12.1 | 12.7 |
| 2025 games | 15 | 15 |
| 2026 TwoGun proj pts | 202.3 | 199.8 |
| 2026 proj / gm | 12.4 | 12.2 |
| Year over year | • steady | • steady |
| 2025 snap share | 91% | 77% |
| TwoGun Dog Rating™ | 8 / 10 | 8 / 10 |
Points per game: last year → this year
light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (half-PPR basis)
Where the room drafts them vs us
Dog Rating™ breakdown
Who actually got the work
MORE LIKE THIS: Justin Jefferson or A.J. Brown? · CeeDee Lamb or A.J. Brown? · Drake London or A.J. Brown?
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board
(values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw
projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team);
2025 actuals via nflverse.
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© 2026 TWOGUNGPT