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Should I draft George Pickens or Nico Collins? (PPR)
The verdict
Nico Collins
67%confident
Pickens got robbed by a spreadsheet. Collins is an 8 on the dawg scale. The bark outvoted the grudge.
Pickens averaged 17.2 and got cut to 14.3, which is the kind of disrespect that usually buys my whole vote.
Collins projects 14.6 with an 8 in the dawg file to Pickens's 6. I built a machine to measure dawg. It barked. Loudly. 67% — the grudge is still yelling.
↻ Re-roll — Pickens deserves better and occasionally gets it.
George Pickens WR
DAL · Bye 14 · Age 25
ADP
18.1 · WR9
TwoGun Board
WR14 · #53
Dawg
6 /10
Nico Collins WR
HOU · Bye 8 · Age 27
ADP
23.1 · WR11
TwoGun Board
WR12 · #50
Dawg
8 /10
| George Pickens | Nico Collins | |
|---|---|---|
| Market vs our board | ▼ -5 rich | • fair price |
| 2025 pts / gm (actual) | 17.2 | 15.1 |
| 2025 games | 17 | 15 |
| 2026 TwoGun proj pts | 232.5 | 239.7 |
| 2026 proj / gm | 14.3 | 14.6 |
| Year over year | ▼ regression (says the spreadsheet) | • steady |
| 2025 snap share | 81% | 77% |
| TwoGun Dawg Rating™ | 6 / 10 | 8 / 10 |
Points per game: last year → this year
light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (PPR basis)
Where the room drafts them vs us
Dawg Rating™ breakdown
Who actually got the work
MORE LIKE THIS: CeeDee Lamb or George Pickens? · Drake London or George Pickens? · A.J. Brown or George Pickens?
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board
(values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw
projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team);
2025 actuals via nflverse.
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Home · Compare any two players · Live draft help
Free indefinitely — a hobby site with no plans, permanently in beta. Built on a whim, updated whenever.
© 2026 TWOGUNGPT