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Should I draft Luther Burden III or Mike Evans? (PPR)
The verdict
Mike Evans
79%confident
A 33-year-old legend off a broken season against a rookie who hasn't broken anything, including out.
Evans missed half of 2025 and still nearly doubled Burden's per-game, 8.7 to 7. The man has caught a thousand yards a season since before Burden had a driver's license, and now he's cheap and insulted. My two favorite conditions.
The kid's time may come. The old man's time is Sunday. 79%.
↻ Re-roll — the kid's believers keep receipts too. Future-dated ones.
Luther Burden III WR
CHI · Bye 10 · Age 22
ADP
45.4 · WR23
TwoGun Board
WR31 · #96
Dog
4 /10
Mike Evans WR
SF · Bye 8 · Age 33
ADP
50.8 · WR26
TwoGun Board
WR30 · #95
Dog
6 /10
| Luther Burden III | Mike Evans | |
|---|---|---|
| Market vs our board | ▼ -8 rich | ▼ -4 rich |
| 2025 pts / gm (actual) | 7.0 | 8.7 |
| 2025 games | 15 | 8 |
| 2026 TwoGun proj pts | 161.0 | 161.9 |
| 2026 proj / gm | 9.9 | 9.9 |
| Year over year | ▲ step up | ▲ step up |
| 2025 snap share | 40% | 66% |
| TwoGun Dog Rating™ | 4 / 10 | 6 / 10 |
Points per game: last year → this year
light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (half-PPR basis)
Where the room drafts them vs us
Dog Rating™ breakdown
Who actually got the work
MORE LIKE THIS: Davante Adams or Luther Burden III? · Jaylen Waddle or Luther Burden III? · Malik Nabers or Luther Burden III?
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board
(values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw
projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team);
2025 actuals via nflverse.
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© 2026 TWOGUNGPT