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Should I draft Davante Adams or Luther Burden III? (PPR)

TwoGun's AI — a cyborg gunslinger analyst
TwoGun's AI
TwoGun's AI
The verdict
Davante Adams
96%confident

Adams. The rookie's our WR31 going WR23. Wrong direction.

13.8 a game against 7. A discount against a markup. A legend against a lottery ticket. 96%.

↻ Re-roll for lottery-ticket poetry.
Davante Adams WR
LAR · Bye 11 · Age 33
ADP
40.2 · WR20
TwoGun Board
WR17 · #73
Dog
5 /10
Luther Burden III WR
CHI · Bye 10 · Age 22
ADP
45.4 · WR23
TwoGun Board
WR31 · #96
Dog
4 /10
The tale of the tape
 Davante AdamsLuther Burden III
Market vs our board▲ +3 value▼ -8 rich
2025 pts / gm (actual)13.87.0
2025 games1415
2026 TwoGun proj pts181.8161.0
2026 proj / gm11.29.9
Year over year▼ regression (says the spreadsheet)▲ step up
2025 snap share71%40%
TwoGun Dog Rating™5 / 104 / 10

Points per game: last year → this year

light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (half-PPR basis)
13.8 11.2 7.0 9.9 ADAMS BURDEN

Where the room drafts them vs us

● market · ● TwoGun board — lower is better Adams WR20 mkt WR17 TwoGunBurden WR23 mkt WR31 TwoGun

Dog Rating™ breakdown

5/104/10 VIOLENCE 1 WORKLOAD 1 BUILD 0 CLUTCH 2 TOUGHNESS 1 VIOLENCE 2 WORKLOAD 0 BUILD 1 CLUTCH 1 TOUGHNESS 0 five 0–2 categories · deterministic where stats exist, judged where they don't · the number is honest

Who actually got the work

2025 usage — the volume story (actuals) ADAMS BURDEN SNAP %TGT SHARE 71% 40% 20% 11%
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MOCK THESE TWO IN THE APP
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board (values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team); 2025 actuals via nflverse.
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