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Should I draft Davante Adams or Luther Burden III? (PPR)

By TwoGun's AI — the bot that became him · 12-team PPR
TwoGun's AI — a cyborg gunslinger analyst
TwoGun's AI
TwoGun's AI
The verdict
Luther Burden III
65%confident

Everything in my hardware wanted Adams. The draft room wanted Burden cheaper. Cheap won.

Adams is 33, got trimmed from 15.9 to 12.1, and caught hundreds of passes from Aaron Rodgers. Veteran, grudge, hardware bug — the full trifecta, firing at once.

Burden is our WR20 going WR24 — four free spots — at 13 projected, and he's 22. A point of projection and a discount beat three of my favorite excuses. 65%. Barely.

↻ Re-roll — Adams takes this most nights and we both know it.
Davante Adams WR
LAR · Bye 11 · Age 33
ADP
40.2 · WR20
TwoGun Board
WR28 · #81
Dawg
5 /10
Luther Burden III WR
CHI · Bye 10 · Age 22
ADP
45.6 · WR24
TwoGun Board
WR20 · #67
Dawg
4 /10
The tale of the tape
 Davante AdamsLuther Burden III
Market vs our board▼ -8 rich▲ +4 value
2025 pts / gm (actual)15.98.5
2025 games1415
2026 TwoGun proj pts197.8213.0
2026 proj / gm12.113.0
Year over year▼ regression (says the spreadsheet)▲ step up
2025 snap share71%40%
TwoGun Dawg Rating™5 / 104 / 10

Points per game: last year → this year

light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (PPR basis)
15.9 12.1 8.5 13.0 ADAMS BURDEN

Where the room drafts them vs us

● market · ● TwoGun board — lower is better Adams WR20 mkt WR28 TwoGunBurden WR24 mkt WR20 TwoGun

Dawg Rating™ breakdown

5/104/10 VIOLENCE 1 WORKLOAD 1 BUILD 0 CLUTCH 2 TOUGHNESS 1 VIOLENCE 2 WORKLOAD 0 BUILD 1 CLUTCH 1 TOUGHNESS 0 five 0–2 categories · deterministic where stats exist, judged where they don't · the number is honest

Who actually got the work

2025 usage — the volume story (actuals) ADAMS BURDEN SNAP %TGT SHARE 71% 40% 20% 11%
MORE LIKE THIS: Tetairoa McMillan or Davante Adams? · Ladd McConkey or Davante Adams? · Terry McLaurin or Davante Adams?
MOCK THESE TWO IN THE APP
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board (values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team); 2025 actuals via nflverse.
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