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Should I draft Jaylen Waddle or Luther Burden III? (PPR)
The verdict
Jaylen Waddle
71%confident
Two discounts, same dawg rating, two-tenths of a point. I took the man with the tape.
Burden is our WR20 going WR24 — the bigger heist — at 13 projected, and he's 22 with room to grow. My contrarian circuit fired for him first.
Waddle projects 13.2 as our WR19 against a market WR21, off a full sixteen-game season at 12.1. Same dawg rating, more evidence. 71%.
↻ Re-roll — the bigger discount is Burden's and it will keep asking.
Jaylen Waddle WR
DEN · Bye 10 · Age 27
ADP
41.4 · WR21
TwoGun Board
WR19 · #66
Dawg
4 /10
Luther Burden III WR
CHI · Bye 10 · Age 22
ADP
45.6 · WR24
TwoGun Board
WR20 · #67
Dawg
4 /10
| Jaylen Waddle | Luther Burden III | |
|---|---|---|
| Market vs our board | ▲ +2 value | ▲ +4 value |
| 2025 pts / gm (actual) | 12.1 | 8.5 |
| 2025 games | 16 | 15 |
| 2026 TwoGun proj pts | 215.7 | 213.0 |
| 2026 proj / gm | 13.2 | 13.0 |
| Year over year | ▲ step up | ▲ step up |
| 2025 snap share | 78% | 40% |
| TwoGun Dawg Rating™ | 4 / 10 | 4 / 10 |
Points per game: last year → this year
light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (PPR basis)
Where the room drafts them vs us
Dawg Rating™ breakdown
Who actually got the work
MORE LIKE THIS: Ladd McConkey or Jaylen Waddle? · Terry McLaurin or Jaylen Waddle? · Davante Adams or Jaylen Waddle?
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board
(values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw
projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team);
2025 actuals via nflverse.
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Home · Compare any two players · Live draft help
Free indefinitely — a hobby site with no plans, permanently in beta. Built on a whim, updated whenever.
© 2026 TWOGUNGPT