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Should I draft Justin Jefferson or CeeDee Lamb? (PPR)

TwoGun's AI — a cyborg gunslinger analyst
TwoGun's AI
TwoGun's AI
The verdict
Justin Jefferson
94%confident

A tenth of a point apart, and I picked the man coming off 11.9 a game. Greatness has a memory. So do I — it's a storage feature.

Lamb projects 17.2, Jefferson 17.1. That is not a gap, that's a typo with ambition. Lamb even edges him on our board by one spot.

Jefferson averaged 11.9 last year and the projection still forgives him all the way back to 17.1. When a spreadsheet believes in a man that hard, I stop arguing. 94%. No biases fired here — this one is just me.

↻ Re-roll — Lamb takes it on any honest recount.
Justin Jefferson WR
MIN · Bye 6 · Age 27
ADP
10.1 · WR5
TwoGun Board
WR6 · #23
Dawg
7 /10
CeeDee Lamb WR
DAL · Bye 14 · Age 27
ADP
10.6 · WR6
TwoGun Board
WR5 · #22
Dawg
6 /10
The tale of the tape
 Justin JeffersonCeeDee Lamb
Market vs our board• fair price• fair price
2025 pts / gm (actual)11.915.5
2025 games1713
2026 TwoGun proj pts281.2281.4
2026 proj / gm17.117.2
Year over year▲ step up▲ step up
2025 snap share94%73%
TwoGun Dawg Rating™7 / 106 / 10

Points per game: last year → this year

light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (PPR basis)
11.9 17.1 15.5 17.2 JEFFERSON LAMB

Where the room drafts them vs us

● market · ● TwoGun board — lower is better Jefferson WR5 mkt WR6 TwoGunLamb WR6 mkt WR5 TwoGun

Dawg Rating™ breakdown

7/106/10 VIOLENCE 1 WORKLOAD 2 BUILD 0 CLUTCH 2 TOUGHNESS 2 VIOLENCE 1 WORKLOAD 1 BUILD 1 CLUTCH 2 TOUGHNESS 1 five 0–2 categories · deterministic where stats exist, judged where they don't · the number is honest

Who actually got the work

2025 usage — the volume story (actuals) JEFFERSON LAMB SNAP %TGT SHARE 94% 73% 30% 19%
MORE LIKE THIS: Ja'Marr Chase or Justin Jefferson? · Jaxon Smith-Njigba or Justin Jefferson? · Jaxon Smith-Njigba or CeeDee Lamb?
MOCK THESE TWO IN THE APP
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board (values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team); 2025 actuals via nflverse.
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