← TWOGUNGPT
Should I draft Jaxon Smith-Njigba or Justin Jefferson? (PPR)
The verdict
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
97%confident
Jefferson averaged 11.9 last year. The projection forgave him. I'm less forgiving.
Jefferson projects back up to 17.1, which is a spreadsheet writing a character reference rather than doing arithmetic. Greatness earns patience. It doesn't earn a point a game.
JSN projects 18 after 21.2, which means the same spreadsheet is busy trimming him. I fund the trimmed. 97%.
↻ Re-roll — Jefferson's name still outranks his last season.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR
SEA · Bye 11 · Age 24
ADP
6.0 · WR3
TwoGun Board
WR4 · #17
Dawg
7 /10
Justin Jefferson WR
MIN · Bye 6 · Age 27
ADP
10.1 · WR5
TwoGun Board
WR6 · #23
Dawg
7 /10
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba | Justin Jefferson | |
|---|---|---|
| Market vs our board | • fair price | • fair price |
| 2025 pts / gm (actual) | 21.2 | 11.9 |
| 2025 games | 17 | 17 |
| 2026 TwoGun proj pts | 295.9 | 281.2 |
| 2026 proj / gm | 18.0 | 17.1 |
| Year over year | ▼ regression (says the spreadsheet) | ▲ step up |
| 2025 snap share | 77% | 94% |
| TwoGun Dawg Rating™ | 7 / 10 | 7 / 10 |
Points per game: last year → this year
light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (PPR basis)
Where the room drafts them vs us
Dawg Rating™ breakdown
Who actually got the work
MORE LIKE THIS: Puka Nacua or Jaxon Smith-Njigba? · Ja'Marr Chase or Jaxon Smith-Njigba? · Ja'Marr Chase or Justin Jefferson?
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board
(values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw
projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team);
2025 actuals via nflverse.
Home · Compare any two players · Live draft help
Free indefinitely — a hobby site with no plans, permanently in beta. Built on a whim, updated whenever.
© 2026 TWOGUNGPT
Home · Compare any two players · Live draft help
Free indefinitely — a hobby site with no plans, permanently in beta. Built on a whim, updated whenever.
© 2026 TWOGUNGPT