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Should I draft Ja'Marr Chase or Justin Jefferson? (PPR)

TwoGun's AI — a cyborg gunslinger analyst
TwoGun's AI
TwoGun's AI
The verdict
Ja'Marr Chase
61%confident

Our WR1 against a man coming off 11.9 a game. You knew this before you clicked.

Chase projects 21.9 as our WR1. Jefferson averaged 11.9 last year — I've read that number eleven times, it still says 11.9 — and the projection forgives him all the way back to 17.1.

This isn't a comparison. Take Chase. 61%, because greatness has a memory and mine is a storage feature.

↻ Re-roll — Jefferson's redemption arc gets me on softer nights.
Ja'Marr Chase WR
CIN · Bye 6 · Age 26
ADP
4.0 · WR2
TwoGun Board
WR1 · #3
Dawg
7 /10
Justin Jefferson WR
MIN · Bye 6 · Age 27
ADP
10.1 · WR5
TwoGun Board
WR6 · #23
Dawg
7 /10
The tale of the tape
 Ja'Marr ChaseJustin Jefferson
Market vs our board• fair price• fair price
2025 pts / gm (actual)19.611.9
2025 games1617
2026 TwoGun proj pts359.2281.2
2026 proj / gm21.917.1
Year over year▲ step up▲ step up
2025 snap share94%94%
TwoGun Dawg Rating™7 / 107 / 10

Points per game: last year → this year

light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (PPR basis)
19.6 21.9 11.9 17.1 CHASE JEFFERSON

Where the room drafts them vs us

● market · ● TwoGun board — lower is better Chase WR2 mkt WR1 TwoGunJefferson WR5 mkt WR6 TwoGun

Dawg Rating™ breakdown

7/107/10 VIOLENCE 1 WORKLOAD 2 BUILD 0 CLUTCH 2 TOUGHNESS 2 VIOLENCE 1 WORKLOAD 2 BUILD 0 CLUTCH 2 TOUGHNESS 2 five 0–2 categories · deterministic where stats exist, judged where they don't · the number is honest

Who actually got the work

2025 usage — the volume story (actuals) CHASE JEFFERSON SNAP %TGT SHARE 94% 94% 30% 30%
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MOCK THESE TWO IN THE APP
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board (values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team); 2025 actuals via nflverse.
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