← TWOGUNGPT
Should I draft Ja'Marr Chase or Justin Jefferson? (PPR)
The verdict
Ja'Marr Chase
86%confident
Jefferson at 9.4 a game last year. I've read that number eleven times. It still says 9.4.
Chase out-produced him by six a game in the same league, same season, same rules of physics. The projection forgives Jefferson generously at 13.6, and even that forgiving number loses this page.
Greatness has a memory, and Jefferson's earned patience. Just not six-points-a-game worth of patience. 86%.
↻ Re-roll — the memory argument is strong with the old heads.
Ja'Marr Chase WR
CIN · Bye 6 · Age 26
ADP
4.0 · WR2
TwoGun Board
WR3 · #27
Dog
7 /10
Justin Jefferson WR
MIN · Bye 6 · Age 27
ADP
10.0 · WR5
TwoGun Board
WR6 · #48
Dog
7 /10
| Ja'Marr Chase | Justin Jefferson | |
|---|---|---|
| Market vs our board | • fair price | • fair price |
| 2025 pts / gm (actual) | 15.7 | 9.4 |
| 2025 games | 16 | 17 |
| 2026 TwoGun proj pts | 262.5 | 222.0 |
| 2026 proj / gm | 16.1 | 13.6 |
| Year over year | • steady | ▲ step up |
| 2025 snap share | 94% | 94% |
| TwoGun Dog Rating™ | 7 / 10 | 7 / 10 |
Points per game: last year → this year
light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (half-PPR basis)
Where the room drafts them vs us
Dog Rating™ breakdown
Who actually got the work
MORE LIKE THIS: Puka Nacua or Ja'Marr Chase? · Ja'Marr Chase or Jaxon Smith-Njigba? · Ja'Marr Chase or Amon-Ra St. Brown?
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board
(values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw
projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team);
2025 actuals via nflverse.
Home · Compare any two players · Live draft help
© 2026 TWOGUNGPT
Home · Compare any two players · Live draft help
© 2026 TWOGUNGPT