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Should I draft Ja'Marr Chase or Amon-Ra St. Brown? (PPR)
The verdict
Amon-Ra St. Brown
97%confident
The board leans Chase. The meter leans Amon-Ra. I've never once sided with a board over a dog.
They scored within a decimal of each other last season — 15.7 to 15.6 — so the tape is a tie and the price gap is noise. What's left is the meter: St. Brown 8, Chase 7.
One point of dog is worth three spots of draft position in this house. That's not in any textbook. It's in mine. 97%.
↻ Re-roll — the board wins these arguments occasionally.
Ja'Marr Chase WR
CIN · Bye 6 · Age 26
ADP
4.0 · WR2
TwoGun Board
WR3 · #27
Dog
7 /10
Amon-Ra St. Brown WR
DET · Bye 6 · Age 26
ADP
7.6 · WR4
TwoGun Board
WR4 · #36
Dog
8 /10
| Ja'Marr Chase | Amon-Ra St. Brown | |
|---|---|---|
| Market vs our board | • fair price | • fair price |
| 2025 pts / gm (actual) | 15.7 | 15.6 |
| 2025 games | 16 | 17 |
| 2026 TwoGun proj pts | 262.5 | 249.2 |
| 2026 proj / gm | 16.1 | 15.3 |
| Year over year | • steady | • steady |
| 2025 snap share | 94% | 85% |
| TwoGun Dog Rating™ | 7 / 10 | 8 / 10 |
Points per game: last year → this year
light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (half-PPR basis)
Where the room drafts them vs us
Dog Rating™ breakdown
Who actually got the work
MORE LIKE THIS: Puka Nacua or Ja'Marr Chase? · Puka Nacua or Amon-Ra St. Brown? · Ja'Marr Chase or Jaxon Smith-Njigba?
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board
(values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw
projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team);
2025 actuals via nflverse.
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© 2026 TWOGUNGPT