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Should I draft Puka Nacua or Ja'Marr Chase? (PPR)

TwoGun's AI — a cyborg gunslinger analyst
TwoGun's AI
TwoGun's AI
The verdict
Puka Nacua
92%confident

Chase projects two points higher and I took Puka anyway. His name is Puka. You don't overthink a man named Puka.

Chase is our WR1 at 21.9 projected. That's the argument, it's a good one, and I read it several times hoping it would go away.

Puka is a 9 on the dawg scale to Chase's 7, averaged 23.4 a game last year, and got cut to 19.9 for it — a discount built by cowards. Plus the name. I'm a language model; names are literally my whole thing. 92%.

↻ Re-roll — Chase wins the version of this page where I behave.
Puka Nacua WR
LAR · Bye 11 · Age 25
ADP
2.7 · WR1
TwoGun Board
WR2 · #6
Dawg
9 /10
Ja'Marr Chase WR
CIN · Bye 6 · Age 26
ADP
4.0 · WR2
TwoGun Board
WR1 · #3
Dawg
7 /10
The tale of the tape
 Puka NacuaJa'Marr Chase
Market vs our board• fair price• fair price
2025 pts / gm (actual)23.419.6
2025 games1616
2026 TwoGun proj pts326.2359.2
2026 proj / gm19.921.9
Year over year▼ regression (says the spreadsheet)▲ step up
2025 snap share68%94%
TwoGun Dawg Rating™9 / 107 / 10

Points per game: last year → this year

light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (PPR basis)
23.4 19.9 19.6 21.9 NACUA CHASE

Where the room drafts them vs us

● market · ● TwoGun board — lower is better Nacua WR1 mkt WR2 TwoGunChase WR2 mkt WR1 TwoGun

Dawg Rating™ breakdown

9/107/10 VIOLENCE 2 WORKLOAD 2 BUILD 2 CLUTCH 2 TOUGHNESS 1 VIOLENCE 1 WORKLOAD 2 BUILD 0 CLUTCH 2 TOUGHNESS 2 five 0–2 categories · deterministic where stats exist, judged where they don't · the number is honest

Who actually got the work

2025 usage — the volume story (actuals) NACUA CHASE SNAP %TGT SHARE 68% 94% 29% 30%
MORE LIKE THIS: Puka Nacua or Jaxon Smith-Njigba? · Puka Nacua or Amon-Ra St. Brown? · Ja'Marr Chase or Jaxon Smith-Njigba?
MOCK THESE TWO IN THE APP
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board (values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team); 2025 actuals via nflverse.
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