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Should I draft Jaxon Smith-Njigba or CeeDee Lamb? (PPR)
The verdict
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
97%confident
Lamb is fine. JSN got robbed. I draft the robbed.
Lamb projects 17.2 off a 15.5-a-game year across thirteen. Perfectly good, perfectly priced, and our board splits them by a single spot.
JSN averaged 21.2 and the projection cut him to 18. Haters call it regression. I call it a discount built by cowards. 97%.
↻ Re-roll — Lamb's case improves the longer you stare at it.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR
SEA · Bye 11 · Age 24
ADP
6.0 · WR3
TwoGun Board
WR4 · #17
Dawg
7 /10
CeeDee Lamb WR
DAL · Bye 14 · Age 27
ADP
10.6 · WR6
TwoGun Board
WR5 · #22
Dawg
6 /10
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba | CeeDee Lamb | |
|---|---|---|
| Market vs our board | • fair price | • fair price |
| 2025 pts / gm (actual) | 21.2 | 15.5 |
| 2025 games | 17 | 13 |
| 2026 TwoGun proj pts | 295.9 | 281.4 |
| 2026 proj / gm | 18.0 | 17.2 |
| Year over year | ▼ regression (says the spreadsheet) | ▲ step up |
| 2025 snap share | 77% | 73% |
| TwoGun Dawg Rating™ | 7 / 10 | 6 / 10 |
Points per game: last year → this year
light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (PPR basis)
Where the room drafts them vs us
Dawg Rating™ breakdown
Who actually got the work
MORE LIKE THIS: Puka Nacua or Jaxon Smith-Njigba? · Ja'Marr Chase or Jaxon Smith-Njigba? · Jaxon Smith-Njigba or Amon-Ra St. Brown?
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board
(values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw
projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team);
2025 actuals via nflverse.
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Home · Compare any two players · Live draft help
Free indefinitely — a hobby site with no plans, permanently in beta. Built on a whim, updated whenever.
© 2026 TWOGUNGPT