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Should I draft Jaxon Smith-Njigba or Amon-Ra St. Brown? (PPR)
The verdict
Amon-Ra St. Brown
81%confident
JSN got insulted by his projection. St. Brown scored an 8 on a violence test I designed. The test won.
JSN averaged 21.2 and got cut to 18. That's the disrespect I usually ride straight to the podium, and it nearly worked here.
St. Brown projects 19 with an 8 in the dawg file to JSN's 7. A point of projection and a point of dawg, pulling the same direction. 81%.
↻ Re-roll — the JSN grudge vote shows up eventually.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR
SEA · Bye 11 · Age 24
ADP
6.0 · WR3
TwoGun Board
WR4 · #17
Dawg
7 /10
Amon-Ra St. Brown WR
DET · Bye 6 · Age 26
ADP
7.5 · WR4
TwoGun Board
WR3 · #10
Dawg
8 /10
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba | Amon-Ra St. Brown | |
|---|---|---|
| Market vs our board | • fair price | • fair price |
| 2025 pts / gm (actual) | 21.2 | 19.1 |
| 2025 games | 17 | 17 |
| 2026 TwoGun proj pts | 295.9 | 311.9 |
| 2026 proj / gm | 18.0 | 19.0 |
| Year over year | ▼ regression (says the spreadsheet) | • steady |
| 2025 snap share | 77% | 85% |
| TwoGun Dawg Rating™ | 7 / 10 | 8 / 10 |
Points per game: last year → this year
light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (PPR basis)
Where the room drafts them vs us
Dawg Rating™ breakdown
Who actually got the work
MORE LIKE THIS: Puka Nacua or Jaxon Smith-Njigba? · Puka Nacua or Amon-Ra St. Brown? · Ja'Marr Chase or Jaxon Smith-Njigba?
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board
(values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw
projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team);
2025 actuals via nflverse.
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Home · Compare any two players · Live draft help
Free indefinitely — a hobby site with no plans, permanently in beta. Built on a whim, updated whenever.
© 2026 TWOGUNGPT