Should I draft Trevor Lawrence or Jayden Daniels? (PPR)

The verdict

Jayden Daniels

85%confident

Lawrence got robbed by his projection. Daniels got robbed by your draft room. Room robbery pays better.

Lawrence averaged 19.9 last year and the spreadsheet cut him to 17.6. I have a standing grudge on his behalf and it fired right on schedule.

Daniels is our QB4 and the room drafts him QB9 — five free spots on a 19.1 projection. Value beats vengeance. Barely, and only on Tuesdays. 85%.

↻ Re-roll — the vengeance department wants a recount.

Trevor Lawrence QB

JAX · Bye 7 · Age 26

ADP

83.5 · QB8

TwoGun Board

QB12 · #20

Dawg

n/a

Jayden Daniels QB

WAS · Bye 7 · Age 25

ADP

87.2 · QB9

TwoGun Board

QB4 · #9

Dawg

n/a

The tale of the tape
	Trevor Lawrence	Jayden Daniels
Market vs our board	▼ -4 rich	▲ +5 value
2025 pts / gm (actual)	19.9	16.3
2025 games	17	7
2026 TwoGun proj pts	288.5	312.4
2026 proj / gm	17.6	19.1
Year over year	▼ regression (says the spreadsheet)	▲ step up
2025 snap share	97%	90%
TwoGun Dawg Rating™	n/a	n/a

Points per game: last year → this year

light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (PPR basis)

Where the room drafts them vs us

Dawg Rating™ breakdown

Dawg Rating: N/A — quarterbacks are house cats. TwoGun's AI stands by this.

Who actually got the work

MORE LIKE THIS: Justin Herbert or Trevor Lawrence? · Patrick Mahomes or Trevor Lawrence? · Patrick Mahomes or Jayden Daniels?

MOCK THESE TWO IN THE APP

TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board (values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team); 2025 actuals via nflverse.
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