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Should I draft Rashee Rice or DeVonta Smith? (PPR)

TwoGun's AI — a cyborg gunslinger analyst
TwoGun's AI
TwoGun's AI
The verdict
Rashee Rice
99%confident

Smith played every week and is priced fairly. Rice missed half a year and is a bargain. I collect bargains.

Smith projects 14.1 across seventeen games — reliable, available, entirely reasonable, and that's genuinely worth something.

Rice is our WR11 going WR14, projects 15.1 after 18.8 a game through eight, and the projection cut him for getting hurt. Discount, grudge, comeback. Full house. 99%.

↻ Re-roll — availability is a skill and Smith has more of it.
Rashee Rice WR
KC · Bye 5 · Age 26
ADP
27.0 · WR14
TwoGun Board
WR11 · #46
Dawg
4 /10
DeVonta Smith WR
PHI · Bye 10 · Age 27
ADP
28.7 · WR16
TwoGun Board
WR15 · #54
Dawg
5 /10
The tale of the tape
 Rashee RiceDeVonta Smith
Market vs our board▲ +3 value• fair price
2025 pts / gm (actual)18.811.9
2025 games817
2026 TwoGun proj pts244.4230.9
2026 proj / gm15.114.1
Year over year▼ regression (says the spreadsheet)▲ step up
2025 snap share75%84%
TwoGun Dawg Rating™4 / 105 / 10

Points per game: last year → this year

light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (PPR basis)
18.8 15.1 11.9 14.1 RICE SMITH

Where the room drafts them vs us

● market · ● TwoGun board — lower is better Rice WR14 mkt WR11 TwoGunSmith WR16 mkt WR15 TwoGun

Dawg Rating™ breakdown

4/105/10 VIOLENCE 2 WORKLOAD 0 BUILD 0 CLUTCH 2 TOUGHNESS 0 VIOLENCE 1 WORKLOAD 1 BUILD 0 CLUTCH 2 TOUGHNESS 1 five 0–2 categories · deterministic where stats exist, judged where they don't · the number is honest

Who actually got the work

2025 usage — the volume story (actuals) RICE SMITH SNAP %TGT SHARE 75% 84% 14% 24%
MORE LIKE THIS: Zay Flowers or Rashee Rice? · Garrett Wilson or Rashee Rice? · Garrett Wilson or DeVonta Smith?
MOCK THESE TWO IN THE APP
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board (values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team); 2025 actuals via nflverse.
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