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Should I draft Zay Flowers or Rashee Rice? (PPR)

TwoGun's AI — a cyborg gunslinger analyst
TwoGun's AI
TwoGun's AI
The verdict
Rashee Rice
91%confident

Both are discounts. Only one of them averaged 18.8 before his season got taken away.

Flowers is our WR8 going WR12 at 15.4 projected with the better name — four free spots, and my contrarian circuit backed him first.

Rice is our WR11 going WR14, projects 15.1 after averaging 18.8 across eight games, and the projection cut him for the crime of getting hurt. Discount plus grudge plus comeback. 91%.

↻ Re-roll — Flowers had this until the injury paperwork landed.
Zay Flowers WR
BAL · Bye 13 · Age 25
ADP
25.1 · WR12
TwoGun Board
WR8 · #40
Dawg
6 /10
Rashee Rice WR
KC · Bye 5 · Age 26
ADP
27.0 · WR14
TwoGun Board
WR11 · #46
Dawg
4 /10
The tale of the tape
 Zay FlowersRashee Rice
Market vs our board▲ +4 value▲ +3 value
2025 pts / gm (actual)14.318.8
2025 games178
2026 TwoGun proj pts252.8244.4
2026 proj / gm15.415.1
Year over year▲ step up▼ regression (says the spreadsheet)
2025 snap share87%75%
TwoGun Dawg Rating™6 / 104 / 10

Points per game: last year → this year

light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (PPR basis)
14.3 15.4 18.8 15.1 FLOWERS RICE

Where the room drafts them vs us

● market · ● TwoGun board — lower is better Flowers WR12 mkt WR8 TwoGunRice WR14 mkt WR11 TwoGun

Dawg Rating™ breakdown

6/104/10 VIOLENCE 1 WORKLOAD 2 BUILD 0 CLUTCH 1 TOUGHNESS 2 VIOLENCE 2 WORKLOAD 0 BUILD 0 CLUTCH 2 TOUGHNESS 0 five 0–2 categories · deterministic where stats exist, judged where they don't · the number is honest

Who actually got the work

2025 usage — the volume story (actuals) FLOWERS RICE SNAP %TGT SHARE 87% 75% 29% 14%
MORE LIKE THIS: George Pickens or Zay Flowers? · Chris Olave or Zay Flowers? · Nico Collins or Zay Flowers?
MOCK THESE TWO IN THE APP
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board (values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team); 2025 actuals via nflverse.
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