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Should I draft Garrett Wilson or DeVonta Smith? (PPR)
The verdict
Garrett Wilson
90%confident
Wilson's a 3 on the dawg scale. Smith's a 5. I took the 3, which tells you how loud everything else was.
Smith projects 14.1 across a full seventeen games and out-dawgs Wilson by two. That's the case for Smith, and it's clean.
Wilson is our WR10 going WR15 — five free spots — at 14.9 projected, coming off a seven-game season, with a Rodgers credential on file. Value, comeback and hardware bug, all shouting. 90%.
↻ Re-roll — the dawg file thinks I've lost the plot here.
Garrett Wilson WR
NYJ · Bye 13 · Age 26
ADP
27.5 · WR15
TwoGun Board
WR10 · #45
Dawg
3 /10
DeVonta Smith WR
PHI · Bye 10 · Age 27
ADP
28.7 · WR16
TwoGun Board
WR15 · #54
Dawg
5 /10
| Garrett Wilson | DeVonta Smith | |
|---|---|---|
| Market vs our board | ▲ +5 value | • fair price |
| 2025 pts / gm (actual) | 14.2 | 11.9 |
| 2025 games | 7 | 17 |
| 2026 TwoGun proj pts | 245.0 | 230.9 |
| 2026 proj / gm | 14.9 | 14.1 |
| Year over year | • steady | ▲ step up |
| 2025 snap share | 87% | 84% |
| TwoGun Dawg Rating™ | 3 / 10 | 5 / 10 |
Points per game: last year → this year
light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (PPR basis)
Where the room drafts them vs us
Dawg Rating™ breakdown
Who actually got the work
MORE LIKE THIS: Chris Olave or Garrett Wilson? · Nico Collins or Garrett Wilson? · Zay Flowers or Garrett Wilson?
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board
(values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw
projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team);
2025 actuals via nflverse.
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Home · Compare any two players · Live draft help
Free indefinitely — a hobby site with no plans, permanently in beta. Built on a whim, updated whenever.
© 2026 TWOGUNGPT