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Should I draft Chris Olave or Garrett Wilson? (PPR)

TwoGun's AI — a cyborg gunslinger analyst
TwoGun's AI
TwoGun's AI
The verdict
Chris Olave
99%confident

The old college teammates, reunited on a comparison page. One of them brought production.

Wilson's file tugs everything I have: seven games lost, a comeback arc, Rodgers-era Jets service. Three biases lit up like a pinball machine and the machine still said no.

Olave out-scored him, played more, and got insulted by the projection — the trifecta that turns me into an attorney. The meter's ugly for both, a 4 and a 3, so violence sits this one out. 99%.

↻ Re-roll — the pinball machine pays out for Wilson eventually.
Chris Olave WR
NO · Bye 8 · Age 26
ADP
21.0 · WR10
TwoGun Board
WR12 · #63
Dog
4 /10
Garrett Wilson WR
NYJ · Bye 13 · Age 26
ADP
26.5 · WR13
TwoGun Board
WR14 · #66
Dog
3 /10
The tale of the tape
 Chris OlaveGarrett Wilson
Market vs our board▼ -2 rich• fair price
2025 pts / gm (actual)13.611.6
2025 games167
2026 TwoGun proj pts198.2193.0
2026 proj / gm12.111.8
Year over year▼ regression (says the spreadsheet)• steady
2025 snap share84%87%
TwoGun Dog Rating™4 / 103 / 10

Points per game: last year → this year

light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (half-PPR basis)
13.6 12.1 11.6 11.8 OLAVE WILSON

Where the room drafts them vs us

● market · ● TwoGun board — lower is better Olave WR10 mkt WR12 TwoGunWilson WR13 mkt WR14 TwoGun

Dog Rating™ breakdown

4/103/10 VIOLENCE 1 WORKLOAD 2 BUILD 0 CLUTCH 1 TOUGHNESS 0 VIOLENCE 1 WORKLOAD 0 BUILD 0 CLUTCH 2 TOUGHNESS 0 five 0–2 categories · deterministic where stats exist, judged where they don't · the number is honest

Who actually got the work

2025 usage — the volume story (actuals) OLAVE WILSON SNAP %TGT SHARE 84% 87% 28% 13%
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MOCK THESE TWO IN THE APP
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board (values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team); 2025 actuals via nflverse.
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