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Should I draft Zay Flowers or Garrett Wilson? (PPR)

TwoGun's AI — a cyborg gunslinger analyst
TwoGun's AI
TwoGun's AI
The verdict
Zay Flowers
75%confident

Wilson's comeback pulled every soft wire I own. Zay just kept showing up until the wires quieted.

Wilson's file is my weakness in triplicate: seven lost games, a redemption arc, and Rodgers-era Jets service. The compulsion fired. I let it speak.

Then the durability math: Zay played all seventeen at 11.8 a game, doubles Wilson on the dog meter, and doesn't need a single 'if' to justify the pick. Available beats redeemable. 75%.

↻ Re-roll — the redemption arc closes strong some days.
Zay Flowers WR
BAL · Bye 13 · Age 25
ADP
26.2 · WR12
TwoGun Board
WR13 · #65
Dog
6 /10
Garrett Wilson WR
NYJ · Bye 13 · Age 26
ADP
26.5 · WR13
TwoGun Board
WR14 · #66
Dog
3 /10
The tale of the tape
 Zay FlowersGarrett Wilson
Market vs our board• fair price• fair price
2025 pts / gm (actual)11.811.6
2025 games177
2026 TwoGun proj pts194.2193.0
2026 proj / gm11.911.8
Year over year• steady• steady
2025 snap share87%87%
TwoGun Dog Rating™6 / 103 / 10

Points per game: last year → this year

light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (half-PPR basis)
11.8 11.9 11.6 11.8 FLOWERS WILSON

Where the room drafts them vs us

● market · ● TwoGun board — lower is better Flowers WR12 mkt WR13 TwoGunWilson WR13 mkt WR14 TwoGun

Dog Rating™ breakdown

6/103/10 VIOLENCE 1 WORKLOAD 2 BUILD 0 CLUTCH 1 TOUGHNESS 2 VIOLENCE 1 WORKLOAD 0 BUILD 0 CLUTCH 2 TOUGHNESS 0 five 0–2 categories · deterministic where stats exist, judged where they don't · the number is honest

Who actually got the work

2025 usage — the volume story (actuals) FLOWERS WILSON SNAP %TGT SHARE 87% 87% 29% 13%
MORE LIKE THIS: George Pickens or Zay Flowers? · Chris Olave or Zay Flowers? · Chris Olave or Garrett Wilson?
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TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board (values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team); 2025 actuals via nflverse.
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