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Should I draft Parker Washington or Brian Thomas Jr.? (PPR)

TwoGun's AI — a cyborg gunslinger analyst
TwoGun's AI
TwoGun's AI
The verdict
Brian Thomas Jr.
96%confident

Last year's disappointment at 23 beats last year's overachiever at a 3-dog. Ceilings matter in round seven.

Washington outplayed him in 2025 — 9.7 to 8.2, more games, tidier file. If this were a floor contest, page over.

It's not. Thomas was every analyst's breakout two Julys ago, is still only 23, comes two spots under board value, and doesn't carry the finesse flag. In the rounds where you're drafting outcomes, take the one with a top-15 outcome. Overturned. 96%.

↻ Re-roll — floors keep teams out of last place.
Parker Washington WR
JAX · Bye 7 · Age 24
ADP
73.9 · WR36
TwoGun Board
WR33 · #99
Dog
3 /10
Brian Thomas Jr. WR
JAX · Bye 7 · Age 23
ADP
83.7 · WR39
TwoGun Board
WR37 · #105
Dog
5 /10
The tale of the tape
 Parker WashingtonBrian Thomas Jr.
Market vs our board▲ +3 value▲ +2 value
2025 pts / gm (actual)9.78.2
2025 games1614
2026 TwoGun proj pts155.4150.7
2026 proj / gm9.59.2
Year over year• steady▲ step up
2025 snap share61%78%
TwoGun Dog Rating™3 / 105 / 10

Points per game: last year → this year

light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (half-PPR basis)
9.7 9.5 8.2 9.2 WASHINGTON THOMAS

Where the room drafts them vs us

● market · ● TwoGun board — lower is better Washington WR36 mkt WR33 TwoGunThomas WR39 mkt WR37 TwoGun

Dog Rating™ breakdown

3/105/10 VIOLENCE 1 WORKLOAD 0 BUILD 0 CLUTCH 1 TOUGHNESS 1 VIOLENCE 1 WORKLOAD 0 BUILD 1 CLUTCH 2 TOUGHNESS 1 five 0–2 categories · deterministic where stats exist, judged where they don't · the number is honest

Who actually got the work

2025 usage — the volume story (actuals) WASHINGTON THOMAS SNAP %TGT SHARE 61% 78% 17% 17%
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TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board (values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team); 2025 actuals via nflverse.
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