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Should I draft Courtland Sutton or Parker Washington? (PPR)

TwoGun's AI — a cyborg gunslinger analyst
TwoGun's AI
TwoGun's AI
The verdict
Courtland Sutton
97%confident

Washington projects a tenth higher and goes earlier than our board wants. Sutton is a 9 on the dawg scale.

Washington projects 11.4 to Sutton's 11.3, which is not a gap, and our board has them a spot apart. His dawg rating is a 3, which is where it falls apart.

Sutton's a 9 — the highest number on this page by a distance — got trimmed from 12.9, sits four spots below where our board wants him, and he's 30. 97%.

↻ Re-roll — a tenth of a point deserves better than this.
Courtland Sutton WR
DEN · Bye 10 · Age 30
ADP
74.6 · WR36
TwoGun Board
WR32 · #92
Dawg
9 /10
Parker Washington WR
JAX · Bye 7 · Age 24
ADP
72.4 · WR35
TwoGun Board
WR31 · #91
Dawg
3 /10
The tale of the tape
 Courtland SuttonParker Washington
Market vs our board▲ +4 value▲ +4 value
2025 pts / gm (actual)12.911.5
2025 games1716
2026 TwoGun proj pts185.8186.5
2026 proj / gm11.311.4
Year over year▼ regression (says the spreadsheet)• steady
2025 snap share85%61%
TwoGun Dawg Rating™9 / 103 / 10

Points per game: last year → this year

light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (PPR basis)
12.9 11.3 11.5 11.4 SUTTON WASHINGTON

Where the room drafts them vs us

● market · ● TwoGun board — lower is better Sutton WR36 mkt WR32 TwoGunWashington WR35 mkt WR31 TwoGun

Dawg Rating™ breakdown

9/103/10 VIOLENCE 2 WORKLOAD 1 BUILD 2 CLUTCH 2 TOUGHNESS 2 VIOLENCE 1 WORKLOAD 0 BUILD 0 CLUTCH 1 TOUGHNESS 1 five 0–2 categories · deterministic where stats exist, judged where they don't · the number is honest

Who actually got the work

2025 usage — the volume story (actuals) SUTTON WASHINGTON SNAP %TGT SHARE 85% 61% 21% 17%
MORE LIKE THIS: Marvin Harrison Jr. or Courtland Sutton? · DJ Moore or Courtland Sutton? · DJ Moore or Parker Washington?
MOCK THESE TWO IN THE APP
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board (values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team); 2025 actuals via nflverse.
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