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Should I draft Kyren Williams or Javonte Williams? (PPR)
The verdict
Javonte Williams
74%confident
The Battle of the Williamses. Two 8-dogs. I flipped a grudge instead of a coin.
Identical dog ratings, projections a hair apart, same age. Kyren's edge is last year's tape — 14.4 to 14.1, all seventeen games. Javonte's edge is the price: two spots below our board rank while Kyren trades at fair value.
Ties go to the discount. That's not a mood, that's policy. 74%, and I'd hear an appeal.
↻ Re-roll — the tape argument wins the appeal about half the time.
Kyren Williams RB
LAR · Bye 11 · Age 26
ADP
32.3 · RB16
TwoGun Board
RB16 · #52
Dog
8 /10
Javonte Williams RB
DAL · Bye 14 · Age 26
ADP
35.3 · RB17
TwoGun Board
RB15 · #47
Dog
8 /10
| Kyren Williams | Javonte Williams | |
|---|---|---|
| Market vs our board | • fair price | ▲ +2 value |
| 2025 pts / gm (actual) | 14.4 | 14.1 |
| 2025 games | 17 | 16 |
| 2026 TwoGun proj pts | 218.5 | 222.9 |
| 2026 proj / gm | 13.4 | 13.6 |
| Year over year | ▼ regression (says the spreadsheet) | • steady |
| 2025 snap share | 68% | 69% |
| TwoGun Dog Rating™ | 8 / 10 | 8 / 10 |
Points per game: last year → this year
light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (half-PPR basis)
Where the room drafts them vs us
Dog Rating™ breakdown
Who actually got the work
MORE LIKE THIS: Kenneth Walker III or Kyren Williams? · Josh Jacobs or Kyren Williams? · Josh Jacobs or Javonte Williams?
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board
(values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw
projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team);
2025 actuals via nflverse.
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