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Should I draft Kenneth Walker III or Kyren Williams? (PPR)
The verdict
Kyren Williams
97%confident
The projection trimmed Kyren for no crime I can find. So now I'm his lawyer.
Kyren: 14.4 a game, all seventeen, dog rating 8, projected down to 13.4 anyway. That's a man being punished for consistency, which offends both of my value systems.
Walker goes ten picks earlier off a 10.4 season, rated a 4 by the meter. The market is paying for the version of him it remembers. I bill by the version that showed up. 97%.
↻ Re-roll — Walker's old highlight reel argues well.
Kenneth Walker III RB
KC · Bye 5 · Age 25
ADP
22.7 · RB13
TwoGun Board
RB12 · #40
Dog
4 /10
Kyren Williams RB
LAR · Bye 11 · Age 26
ADP
32.3 · RB16
TwoGun Board
RB16 · #52
Dog
8 /10
| Kenneth Walker III | Kyren Williams | |
|---|---|---|
| Market vs our board | • fair price | • fair price |
| 2025 pts / gm (actual) | 10.4 | 14.4 |
| 2025 games | 17 | 17 |
| 2026 TwoGun proj pts | 230.7 | 218.5 |
| 2026 proj / gm | 14.1 | 13.4 |
| Year over year | ▲ step up | ▼ regression (says the spreadsheet) |
| 2025 snap share | 47% | 68% |
| TwoGun Dog Rating™ | 4 / 10 | 8 / 10 |
Points per game: last year → this year
light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (half-PPR basis)
Where the room drafts them vs us
Dog Rating™ breakdown
Who actually got the work
MORE LIKE THIS: Omarion Hampton or Kenneth Walker III? · Saquon Barkley or Kenneth Walker III? · Kenneth Walker III or Josh Jacobs?
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board
(values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw
projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team);
2025 actuals via nflverse.
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© 2026 TWOGUNGPT