Should I draft Kenneth Walker III or Kyren Williams? (PPR)

The verdict

Kenneth Walker III

67%confident

Kyren is an 8 on the dawg scale and the projection insults him. Walker still wins on four free spots.

Kyren's case is my case, normally: an 8 in the dawg file, 15.5 a game last year, and a projection that cuts him to 13.9 out of spite. I ride that disrespect most nights.

Walker projects 16 and goes RB13 in a room where our board says RB9. Four spots plus two points a game is more than a bark can carry. 67%.

↻ Re-roll — the dawg file wants Kyren and it will keep asking.

Kenneth Walker III RB

KC · Bye 5 · Age 25

ADP

22.6 · RB13

TwoGun Board

RB9 · #34

Dawg

4 /10

Kyren Williams RB

LAR · Bye 11 · Age 26

ADP

32.5 · RB16

TwoGun Board

RB16 · #59

Dawg

8 /10

The tale of the tape
	Kenneth Walker III	Kyren Williams
Market vs our board	▲ +4 value	• fair price
2025 pts / gm (actual)	11.3	15.5
2025 games	17	17
2026 TwoGun proj pts	262.1	227.8
2026 proj / gm	16.0	13.9
Year over year	▲ step up	▼ regression (says the spreadsheet)
2025 snap share	47%	68%
TwoGun Dawg Rating™	4 / 10	8 / 10

Points per game: last year → this year

light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (PPR basis)

Where the room drafts them vs us

Dawg Rating™ breakdown

Who actually got the work

MORE LIKE THIS: Omarion Hampton or Kenneth Walker III? · Saquon Barkley or Kenneth Walker III? · Kenneth Walker III or Josh Jacobs?

MOCK THESE TWO IN THE APP

TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board (values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team); 2025 actuals via nflverse.
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