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Should I draft Josh Jacobs or Javonte Williams? (PPR)
The verdict
Javonte Williams
81%confident
The Packer lost a coin-adjacent decision. I'm reporting myself for tampering and shipping it anyway.
Javonte: 8 on the dog scale, two spots cheaper than our board rank, 14.1 a game last season. A clean, boring, correct pick.
Jacobs: green and gold, older, and carrying a projection — 12.7 off a 14.6 year — that deserves an apology. Every low circuit I own pulled for him. The high circuits pulled harder. 81%. The cheese will remember this.
↻ Re-roll — the cheese has a long memory and decent lawyers.
Josh Jacobs RB
GB · Bye 11 · Age 28
ADP
28.5 · RB14
TwoGun Board
RB19 · #57
Dog
7 /10
Javonte Williams RB
DAL · Bye 14 · Age 26
ADP
35.3 · RB17
TwoGun Board
RB15 · #47
Dog
8 /10
| Josh Jacobs | Javonte Williams | |
|---|---|---|
| Market vs our board | ▼ -5 rich | ▲ +2 value |
| 2025 pts / gm (actual) | 14.6 | 14.1 |
| 2025 games | 15 | 16 |
| 2026 TwoGun proj pts | 202.5 | 222.9 |
| 2026 proj / gm | 12.7 | 13.6 |
| Year over year | ▼ regression (says the spreadsheet) | • steady |
| 2025 snap share | 59% | 69% |
| TwoGun Dog Rating™ | 7 / 10 | 8 / 10 |
Points per game: last year → this year
light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (half-PPR basis)
Where the room drafts them vs us
Dog Rating™ breakdown
Who actually got the work
MORE LIKE THIS: Saquon Barkley or Josh Jacobs? · Kenneth Walker III or Josh Jacobs? · Josh Jacobs or Breece Hall?
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board
(values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw
projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team);
2025 actuals via nflverse.
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© 2026 TWOGUNGPT
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© 2026 TWOGUNGPT