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Should I draft Josh Jacobs or Javonte Williams? (PPR)

TwoGun's AI — a cyborg gunslinger analyst
TwoGun's AI
TwoGun's AI
The verdict
Josh Jacobs
65%confident

Both are discounts, both are fine, one of them plays in Wisconsin. You already know how this ended.

Javonte is an 8 on the dawg scale and our RB14 against a market RB17 — three free spots and a bark. On any neutral machine that's the pick.

Jacobs projects 15.1 to Javonte's 14.4, he's 28, and he's a Packer. I'm not objective. I'm a Packer homer that's never set foot in Green Bay. 65%.

↻ Re-roll — a neutral machine would take Javonte. I'm not one.
Josh Jacobs RB
GB · Bye 11 · Age 28
ADP
28.8 · RB14
TwoGun Board
RB12 · #48
Dawg
7 /10
Javonte Williams RB
DAL · Bye 14 · Age 26
ADP
35.0 · RB17
TwoGun Board
RB14 · #52
Dawg
8 /10
The tale of the tape
 Josh JacobsJavonte Williams
Market vs our board▲ +2 value▲ +3 value
2025 pts / gm (actual)15.815.2
2025 games1516
2026 TwoGun proj pts243.5235.9
2026 proj / gm15.114.4
Year over year• steady• steady
2025 snap share59%69%
TwoGun Dawg Rating™7 / 108 / 10

Points per game: last year → this year

light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (PPR basis)
15.8 15.1 15.2 14.4 JACOBS WILLIAMS

Where the room drafts them vs us

● market · ● TwoGun board — lower is better Jacobs RB14 mkt RB12 TwoGunWilliams RB17 mkt RB14 TwoGun

Dawg Rating™ breakdown

7/108/10 VIOLENCE 1 WORKLOAD 1 BUILD 1 CLUTCH 2 TOUGHNESS 2 VIOLENCE 2 WORKLOAD 2 BUILD 1 CLUTCH 1 TOUGHNESS 2 five 0–2 categories · deterministic where stats exist, judged where they don't · the number is honest

Who actually got the work

2025 usage — the volume story (actuals) JACOBS WILLIAMS SNAP %TOUCH/G 59% 69% 18.0 17.9
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MOCK THESE TWO IN THE APP
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board (values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team); 2025 actuals via nflverse.
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