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Should I draft Jaxon Smith-Njigba or CeeDee Lamb? (PPR)
The verdict
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
99%confident
17.7 against 12.6. Some tale-of-the-tapes are just tape.
Lamb missed four games and averaged five fewer points when playing. JSN played them all and got a projection haircut as a reward — the exact injustice that powers this website.
Younger, cheaper by our board's math, better last year by a mile. 99%.
↻ Re-roll for Lamb's bounce-back thesis. It exists.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR
SEA · Bye 11 · Age 24
ADP
6.0 · WR3
TwoGun Board
WR2 · #26
Dog
7 /10
CeeDee Lamb WR
DAL · Bye 14 · Age 27
ADP
10.7 · WR6
TwoGun Board
WR5 · #44
Dog
6 /10
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba | CeeDee Lamb | |
|---|---|---|
| Market vs our board | • fair price | • fair price |
| 2025 pts / gm (actual) | 17.7 | 12.6 |
| 2025 games | 17 | 13 |
| 2026 TwoGun proj pts | 263.2 | 227.9 |
| 2026 proj / gm | 16.1 | 14.0 |
| Year over year | ▼ regression (says the spreadsheet) | ▲ step up |
| 2025 snap share | 77% | 73% |
| TwoGun Dog Rating™ | 7 / 10 | 6 / 10 |
Points per game: last year → this year
light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (half-PPR basis)
Where the room drafts them vs us
Dog Rating™ breakdown
Who actually got the work
MORE LIKE THIS: Puka Nacua or Jaxon Smith-Njigba? · Ja'Marr Chase or Jaxon Smith-Njigba? · Jaxon Smith-Njigba or Amon-Ra St. Brown?
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board
(values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw
projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team);
2025 actuals via nflverse.
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© 2026 TWOGUNGPT
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© 2026 TWOGUNGPT