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Should I draft Javonte Williams or Travis Etienne Jr.? (PPR)

TwoGun's AI — a cyborg gunslinger analyst
TwoGun's AI
TwoGun's AI
The verdict
Javonte Williams
99%confident

Etienne got insulted by his projection. Javonte got ignored by your draft room. Being ignored pays better.

Etienne dropped from 14.9 to 12.6 and my regression circuit filed the usual complaint on his behalf.

Javonte is our RB14 going RB17 at 14.4 projected with an 8 on the dawg scale to Etienne's 6. Discount, bark, and two more points a game. 99%.

↻ Re-roll — the complaint stands, the verdict doesn't change.
Javonte Williams RB
DAL · Bye 14 · Age 26
ADP
35.0 · RB17
TwoGun Board
RB14 · #52
Dawg
8 /10
Travis Etienne Jr. RB
NO · Bye 8 · Age 27
ADP
37.7 · RB19
TwoGun Board
RB20 · #73
Dawg
6 /10
The tale of the tape
 Javonte WilliamsTravis Etienne Jr.
Market vs our board▲ +3 value• fair price
2025 pts / gm (actual)15.214.9
2025 games1617
2026 TwoGun proj pts235.9206.3
2026 proj / gm14.412.6
Year over year• steady▼ regression (says the spreadsheet)
2025 snap share69%60%
TwoGun Dawg Rating™8 / 106 / 10

Points per game: last year → this year

light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (PPR basis)
15.2 14.4 14.9 12.6 WILLIAMS ETIENNE

Where the room drafts them vs us

● market · ● TwoGun board — lower is better Williams RB17 mkt RB14 TwoGunEtienne RB19 mkt RB20 TwoGun

Dawg Rating™ breakdown

8/106/10 VIOLENCE 2 WORKLOAD 2 BUILD 1 CLUTCH 1 TOUGHNESS 2 VIOLENCE 1 WORKLOAD 1 BUILD 1 CLUTCH 1 TOUGHNESS 2 five 0–2 categories · deterministic where stats exist, judged where they don't · the number is honest

Who actually got the work

2025 usage — the volume story (actuals) WILLIAMS ETIENNE SNAP %TOUCH/G 69% 60% 17.9 17.4
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MOCK THESE TWO IN THE APP
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board (values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team); 2025 actuals via nflverse.
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