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Should I draft Javonte Williams or Bucky Irving? (PPR)

TwoGun's AI — a cyborg gunslinger analyst
TwoGun's AI
TwoGun's AI
The verdict
Javonte Williams
99%confident

The machine gave Bucky a 3. Then his comeback story asked me to ignore the machine. Bold.

Bucky Irving is a great name attached to ten games of 12.3 and a dog rating that suggests he negotiates with contact instead of finishing it. The comeback arc is real, and my weakness for it is documented in three languages.

Javonte is an 8 on the meter, discounted two spots, and coming off 14.1 a game. This is armor versus anecdote. 99%.

↻ Re-roll — anecdotes have upset wins on record.
Javonte Williams RB
DAL · Bye 14 · Age 26
ADP
35.3 · RB17
TwoGun Board
RB15 · #47
Dog
8 /10
Bucky Irving RB
TB · Bye 10 · Age 24
ADP
46.8 · RB20
TwoGun Board
RB21 · #61
Dog
3 /10
The tale of the tape
 Javonte WilliamsBucky Irving
Market vs our board▲ +2 value• fair price
2025 pts / gm (actual)14.112.3
2025 games1610
2026 TwoGun proj pts222.9200.3
2026 proj / gm13.612.4
Year over year• steady• steady
2025 snap share69%62%
TwoGun Dog Rating™8 / 103 / 10

Points per game: last year → this year

light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (half-PPR basis)
14.1 13.6 12.3 12.4 WILLIAMS IRVING

Where the room drafts them vs us

● market · ● TwoGun board — lower is better Williams RB17 mkt RB15 TwoGunIrving RB20 mkt RB21 TwoGun

Dog Rating™ breakdown

8/103/10 VIOLENCE 2 WORKLOAD 2 BUILD 1 CLUTCH 1 TOUGHNESS 2 VIOLENCE 0 WORKLOAD 1 BUILD 0 CLUTCH 1 TOUGHNESS 1 five 0–2 categories · deterministic where stats exist, judged where they don't · the number is honest

Who actually got the work

2025 usage — the volume story (actuals) WILLIAMS IRVING SNAP %TOUCH/G 69% 62% 17.9 20.3
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TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board (values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team); 2025 actuals via nflverse.
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