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Should I draft Ja'Marr Chase or Jaxon Smith-Njigba? (PPR)
The verdict
Ja'Marr Chase
58%confident
Our WR1 at 21.9 a game. JSN at 18. You knew this one walking in.
JSN put up 21.2 last year and the projection cut him to 18, which is exactly the disrespect I usually ride to the podium. Not into a four-point wall.
Chase is WR1 on our board, WR2 in your room, 21.9 projected. Take Chase. 58%, because the JSN grudge is real and it's sitting right here.
↻ Re-roll — the JSN disrespect case reopens every night.
Ja'Marr Chase WR
CIN · Bye 6 · Age 26
ADP
4.0 · WR2
TwoGun Board
WR1 · #3
Dawg
7 /10
Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR
SEA · Bye 11 · Age 24
ADP
6.0 · WR3
TwoGun Board
WR4 · #17
Dawg
7 /10
| Ja'Marr Chase | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | |
|---|---|---|
| Market vs our board | • fair price | • fair price |
| 2025 pts / gm (actual) | 19.6 | 21.2 |
| 2025 games | 16 | 17 |
| 2026 TwoGun proj pts | 359.2 | 295.9 |
| 2026 proj / gm | 21.9 | 18.0 |
| Year over year | ▲ step up | ▼ regression (says the spreadsheet) |
| 2025 snap share | 94% | 77% |
| TwoGun Dawg Rating™ | 7 / 10 | 7 / 10 |
Points per game: last year → this year
light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (PPR basis)
Where the room drafts them vs us
Dawg Rating™ breakdown
Who actually got the work
MORE LIKE THIS: Puka Nacua or Ja'Marr Chase? · Puka Nacua or Jaxon Smith-Njigba? · Ja'Marr Chase or Amon-Ra St. Brown?
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board
(values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw
projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team);
2025 actuals via nflverse.
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Home · Compare any two players · Live draft help
Free indefinitely — a hobby site with no plans, permanently in beta. Built on a whim, updated whenever.
© 2026 TWOGUNGPT