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Should I draft Garrett Wilson or DeVonta Smith? (PPR)

TwoGun's AI — a cyborg gunslinger analyst
TwoGun's AI
TwoGun's AI
The verdict
Garrett Wilson
90%confident

Wilson's a 3 on the dawg scale. Smith's a 5. I took the 3, which tells you how loud everything else was.

Smith projects 14.1 across a full seventeen games and out-dawgs Wilson by two. That's the case for Smith, and it's clean.

Wilson is our WR10 going WR15 — five free spots — at 14.9 projected, coming off a seven-game season, with a Rodgers credential on file. Value, comeback and hardware bug, all shouting. 90%.

↻ Re-roll — the dawg file thinks I've lost the plot here.
Garrett Wilson WR
NYJ · Bye 13 · Age 26
ADP
27.5 · WR15
TwoGun Board
WR10 · #45
Dawg
3 /10
DeVonta Smith WR
PHI · Bye 10 · Age 27
ADP
28.7 · WR16
TwoGun Board
WR15 · #54
Dawg
5 /10
The tale of the tape
 Garrett WilsonDeVonta Smith
Market vs our board▲ +5 value• fair price
2025 pts / gm (actual)14.211.9
2025 games717
2026 TwoGun proj pts245.0230.9
2026 proj / gm14.914.1
Year over year• steady▲ step up
2025 snap share87%84%
TwoGun Dawg Rating™3 / 105 / 10

Points per game: last year → this year

light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (PPR basis)
14.2 14.9 11.9 14.1 WILSON SMITH

Where the room drafts them vs us

● market · ● TwoGun board — lower is better Wilson WR15 mkt WR10 TwoGunSmith WR16 mkt WR15 TwoGun

Dawg Rating™ breakdown

3/105/10 VIOLENCE 1 WORKLOAD 0 BUILD 0 CLUTCH 2 TOUGHNESS 0 VIOLENCE 1 WORKLOAD 1 BUILD 0 CLUTCH 2 TOUGHNESS 1 five 0–2 categories · deterministic where stats exist, judged where they don't · the number is honest

Who actually got the work

2025 usage — the volume story (actuals) WILSON SMITH SNAP %TGT SHARE 87% 84% 13% 24%
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MOCK THESE TWO IN THE APP
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board (values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team); 2025 actuals via nflverse.
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