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Should I draft Garrett Wilson or DeVonta Smith? (PPR)
The verdict
DeVonta Smith
90%confident
Our board leans Wilson. Smith played ten more games. I bought the receiver who was there.
Wilson's per-game beat Smith's, 11.6 to 9.6, and the comeback-plus-Rodgers file did its usual dance on my circuitry. The board leaned his way by a spot.
But a 3 on the dog meter coming off a seven-game season is stacked risk, and Smith — slight as he is — answered the bell all seventeen weeks in a bad year. Floor over folder. Overturned. 90%.
↻ Re-roll — the folder dances well.
Garrett Wilson WR
NYJ · Bye 13 · Age 26
ADP
26.5 · WR13
TwoGun Board
WR14 · #66
Dog
3 /10
DeVonta Smith WR
PHI · Bye 10 · Age 27
ADP
28.9 · WR16
TwoGun Board
WR15 · #68
Dog
5 /10
| Garrett Wilson | DeVonta Smith | |
|---|---|---|
| Market vs our board | • fair price | • fair price |
| 2025 pts / gm (actual) | 11.6 | 9.6 |
| 2025 games | 7 | 17 |
| 2026 TwoGun proj pts | 193.0 | 186.5 |
| 2026 proj / gm | 11.8 | 11.4 |
| Year over year | • steady | ▲ step up |
| 2025 snap share | 87% | 84% |
| TwoGun Dog Rating™ | 3 / 10 | 5 / 10 |
Points per game: last year → this year
light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (half-PPR basis)
Where the room drafts them vs us
Dog Rating™ breakdown
Who actually got the work
MORE LIKE THIS: Chris Olave or Garrett Wilson? · Nico Collins or Garrett Wilson? · Zay Flowers or Garrett Wilson?
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board
(values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw
projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team);
2025 actuals via nflverse.
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© 2026 TWOGUNGPT
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© 2026 TWOGUNGPT