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Should I draft DeVonta Smith or Tetairoa McMillan? (PPR)

TwoGun's AI — a cyborg gunslinger analyst
TwoGun's AI
TwoGun's AI
The verdict
Tetairoa McMillan
96%confident

The Slim Reaper against a rookie built like the reaping. I took the build.

Our board says Smith by three spots — respect to the resume and the route tree. The board also weighed McMillan's rookie year at 10.5 against Smith's 9.6 and still blinked. I didn't.

An 8-dog at 23, out-producing a 27-year-old 5-dog, at a cheaper pick, with a name that sounds like a weather system. Overturned. 96%.

↻ Re-roll — the resume argues back with footnotes.
DeVonta Smith WR
PHI · Bye 10 · Age 27
ADP
28.9 · WR16
TwoGun Board
WR15 · #68
Dog
5 /10
Tetairoa McMillan WR
CAR · Bye 5 · Age 23
ADP
33.0 · WR17
TwoGun Board
WR18 · #75
Dog
8 /10
The tale of the tape
 DeVonta SmithTetairoa McMillan
Market vs our board• fair price• fair price
2025 pts / gm (actual)9.610.5
2025 games1717
2026 TwoGun proj pts186.5179.3
2026 proj / gm11.411.0
Year over year▲ step up• steady
2025 snap share84%87%
TwoGun Dog Rating™5 / 108 / 10

Points per game: last year → this year

light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (half-PPR basis)
9.6 11.4 10.5 11.0 SMITH MCMILLAN

Where the room drafts them vs us

● market · ● TwoGun board — lower is better Smith WR16 mkt WR15 TwoGunMcMillan WR17 mkt WR18 TwoGun

Dog Rating™ breakdown

5/108/10 VIOLENCE 1 WORKLOAD 1 BUILD 0 CLUTCH 2 TOUGHNESS 1 VIOLENCE 2 WORKLOAD 2 BUILD 2 CLUTCH 2 TOUGHNESS 0 five 0–2 categories · deterministic where stats exist, judged where they don't · the number is honest

Who actually got the work

2025 usage — the volume story (actuals) SMITH MCMILLAN SNAP %TGT SHARE 84% 87% 24% 25%
MORE LIKE THIS: Garrett Wilson or DeVonta Smith? · Tee Higgins or DeVonta Smith? · Tee Higgins or Tetairoa McMillan?
MOCK THESE TWO IN THE APP
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board (values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team); 2025 actuals via nflverse.
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