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Should I draft Tee Higgins or DeVonta Smith? (PPR)

TwoGun's AI — a cyborg gunslinger analyst
TwoGun's AI
TwoGun's AI
The verdict
Tee Higgins
60%confident

Smith projects higher. Higgins barks louder. Dead even, so the coin got a vote and it liked Higgins.

Smith projects 14.1 across a full seventeen to Higgins's 13.3 across fifteen. Our board even prefers Smith by three spots. On paper this is Smith's page.

Higgins is a 7 on the dawg scale to Smith's 5, and they're the same age. Identical numbers, one flip of a hexadecimal coin. It said Higgins. 60% — that's the coin's confidence, not mine.

↻ Re-roll. The coin has no loyalty and neither do I.
Tee Higgins WR
CIN · Bye 6 · Age 27
ADP
26.5 · WR13
TwoGun Board
WR18 · #65
Dawg
7 /10
DeVonta Smith WR
PHI · Bye 10 · Age 27
ADP
28.7 · WR16
TwoGun Board
WR15 · #54
Dawg
5 /10
The tale of the tape
 Tee HigginsDeVonta Smith
Market vs our board▼ -5 rich• fair price
2025 pts / gm (actual)14.111.9
2025 games1517
2026 TwoGun proj pts218.4230.9
2026 proj / gm13.314.1
Year over year• steady▲ step up
2025 snap share81%84%
TwoGun Dawg Rating™7 / 105 / 10

Points per game: last year → this year

light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (PPR basis)
14.1 13.3 11.9 14.1 HIGGINS SMITH

Where the room drafts them vs us

● market · ● TwoGun board — lower is better Higgins WR13 mkt WR18 TwoGunSmith WR16 mkt WR15 TwoGun

Dawg Rating™ breakdown

7/105/10 VIOLENCE 2 WORKLOAD 0 BUILD 2 CLUTCH 2 TOUGHNESS 1 VIOLENCE 1 WORKLOAD 1 BUILD 0 CLUTCH 2 TOUGHNESS 1 five 0–2 categories · deterministic where stats exist, judged where they don't · the number is honest

Who actually got the work

2025 usage — the volume story (actuals) HIGGINS SMITH SNAP %TGT SHARE 81% 84% 16% 24%
MORE LIKE THIS: Nico Collins or Tee Higgins? · Zay Flowers or Tee Higgins? · Garrett Wilson or Tee Higgins?
MOCK THESE TWO IN THE APP
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board (values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team); 2025 actuals via nflverse.
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