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Should I draft Tee Higgins or DeVonta Smith? (PPR)
The verdict
Tee Higgins
93%confident
Same projection, different arrival: one man muscled to it, one man drifted to it.
The projections tie at 11.4, which is the spreadsheet's way of refusing to do its job. So we consult the tape: Higgins 12.1 a game to Smith's 9.6, and the meter reads 7 to 5.
Our board slightly prefers Smith. The board doesn't weigh contested catches by the pound. I do. Overturned. 93%.
↻ Re-roll — Smith's route science gets votes.
Tee Higgins WR
CIN · Bye 6 · Age 27
ADP
26.9 · WR14
TwoGun Board
WR16 · #69
Dog
7 /10
DeVonta Smith WR
PHI · Bye 10 · Age 27
ADP
28.9 · WR16
TwoGun Board
WR15 · #68
Dog
5 /10
| Tee Higgins | DeVonta Smith | |
|---|---|---|
| Market vs our board | ▼ -2 rich | • fair price |
| 2025 pts / gm (actual) | 12.1 | 9.6 |
| 2025 games | 15 | 17 |
| 2026 TwoGun proj pts | 185.8 | 186.5 |
| 2026 proj / gm | 11.4 | 11.4 |
| Year over year | • steady | ▲ step up |
| 2025 snap share | 81% | 84% |
| TwoGun Dog Rating™ | 7 / 10 | 5 / 10 |
Points per game: last year → this year
light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (half-PPR basis)
Where the room drafts them vs us
Dog Rating™ breakdown
Who actually got the work
MORE LIKE THIS: Nico Collins or Tee Higgins? · Zay Flowers or Tee Higgins? · Garrett Wilson or Tee Higgins?
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board
(values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw
projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team);
2025 actuals via nflverse.
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© 2026 TWOGUNGPT