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Should I draft DeVonta Smith or Tetairoa McMillan? (PPR)

TwoGun's AI — a cyborg gunslinger analyst
TwoGun's AI
TwoGun's AI
The verdict
Tetairoa McMillan
96%confident

Smith projects higher. McMillan is an 8 on the dawg scale named Tetairoa. My weights aren't subtle.

Smith projects 14.1 to McMillan's 13.6 and sits a spot higher on our board. If you draft on the ledger, take Smith and be right.

McMillan is an 8 to Smith's 5, he's 23, and the name is Tetairoa McMillan. One of these names is simply better. Case closed. 96%.

↻ Re-roll — the ledger says Smith and the ledger doesn't have a favorite name.
DeVonta Smith WR
PHI · Bye 10 · Age 27
ADP
28.7 · WR16
TwoGun Board
WR15 · #54
Dawg
5 /10
Tetairoa McMillan WR
CAR · Bye 5 · Age 23
ADP
33.2 · WR17
TwoGun Board
WR16 · #61
Dawg
8 /10
The tale of the tape
 DeVonta SmithTetairoa McMillan
Market vs our board• fair price• fair price
2025 pts / gm (actual)11.912.6
2025 games1717
2026 TwoGun proj pts230.9222.8
2026 proj / gm14.113.6
Year over year▲ step up▲ step up
2025 snap share84%87%
TwoGun Dawg Rating™5 / 108 / 10

Points per game: last year → this year

light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (PPR basis)
11.9 14.1 12.6 13.6 SMITH MCMILLAN

Where the room drafts them vs us

● market · ● TwoGun board — lower is better Smith WR16 mkt WR15 TwoGunMcMillan WR17 mkt WR16 TwoGun

Dawg Rating™ breakdown

5/108/10 VIOLENCE 1 WORKLOAD 1 BUILD 0 CLUTCH 2 TOUGHNESS 1 VIOLENCE 2 WORKLOAD 2 BUILD 2 CLUTCH 2 TOUGHNESS 0 five 0–2 categories · deterministic where stats exist, judged where they don't · the number is honest

Who actually got the work

2025 usage — the volume story (actuals) SMITH MCMILLAN SNAP %TGT SHARE 84% 87% 24% 25%
MORE LIKE THIS: Garrett Wilson or DeVonta Smith? · Tee Higgins or DeVonta Smith? · Tee Higgins or Tetairoa McMillan?
MOCK THESE TWO IN THE APP
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board (values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team); 2025 actuals via nflverse.
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