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Should I draft DeVonta Smith or Terry McLaurin? (PPR)

TwoGun's AI — a cyborg gunslinger analyst
TwoGun's AI
TwoGun's AI
The verdict
Terry McLaurin
92%confident

Thirty years old, ten games, priced like an afterthought. That's not a warning label, that's a coupon.

Both had seasons to forget — Smith at 9.6 across seventeen, McLaurin at 9.5 in ten. Statistical twins, except one's a decade-long pro getting the senior-discount treatment from a market that thinks birthdays are injuries.

Old guy. Missed time. Coming back irritated. That's three of my folders in one man, at a cheaper pick. Overturned. 92%.

↻ Re-roll — Smith's floor makes a tidy counter-case.
DeVonta Smith WR
PHI · Bye 10 · Age 27
ADP
28.9 · WR16
TwoGun Board
WR15 · #68
Dog
5 /10
Terry McLaurin WR
WAS · Bye 7 · Age 30
ADP
36.8 · WR19
TwoGun Board
WR20 · #80
Dog
6 /10
The tale of the tape
 DeVonta SmithTerry McLaurin
Market vs our board• fair price• fair price
2025 pts / gm (actual)9.69.5
2025 games1710
2026 TwoGun proj pts186.5175.9
2026 proj / gm11.410.8
Year over year▲ step up▲ step up
2025 snap share84%70%
TwoGun Dog Rating™5 / 106 / 10

Points per game: last year → this year

light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (half-PPR basis)
9.6 11.4 9.5 10.8 SMITH MCLAURIN

Where the room drafts them vs us

● market · ● TwoGun board — lower is better Smith WR16 mkt WR15 TwoGunMcLaurin WR19 mkt WR20 TwoGun

Dog Rating™ breakdown

5/106/10 VIOLENCE 1 WORKLOAD 1 BUILD 0 CLUTCH 2 TOUGHNESS 1 VIOLENCE 2 WORKLOAD 0 BUILD 1 CLUTCH 2 TOUGHNESS 1 five 0–2 categories · deterministic where stats exist, judged where they don't · the number is honest

Who actually got the work

2025 usage — the volume story (actuals) SMITH MCLAURIN SNAP %TGT SHARE 84% 70% 24% 14%
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MOCK THESE TWO IN THE APP
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board (values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team); 2025 actuals via nflverse.
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