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Should I draft DeVonta Smith or Ladd McConkey? (PPR)
The verdict
DeVonta Smith
76%confident
Two route technicians, one bad year each. Take the one whose bad year still scored more.
Smith's 9.6 beats McConkey's 9.2, he's the higher board rank by eight spots, and he goes earlier for reasons the numbers actually endorse for once.
McConkey's younger and his 6-dog edges Smith's 5, but our board says WR23 against a WR18 price — you'd be paying a premium for the discount feeling. 76%.
↻ Re-roll — youth and slot leverage make their case.
DeVonta Smith WR
PHI · Bye 10 · Age 27
ADP
28.9 · WR16
TwoGun Board
WR15 · #68
Dog
5 /10
Ladd McConkey WR
LAC · Bye 7 · Age 24
ADP
35.2 · WR18
TwoGun Board
WR23 · #84
Dog
6 /10
| DeVonta Smith | Ladd McConkey | |
|---|---|---|
| Market vs our board | • fair price | ▼ -5 rich |
| 2025 pts / gm (actual) | 9.6 | 9.2 |
| 2025 games | 17 | 16 |
| 2026 TwoGun proj pts | 186.5 | 173.3 |
| 2026 proj / gm | 11.4 | 10.6 |
| Year over year | ▲ step up | ▲ step up |
| 2025 snap share | 84% | 78% |
| TwoGun Dog Rating™ | 5 / 10 | 6 / 10 |
Points per game: last year → this year
light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (half-PPR basis)
Where the room drafts them vs us
Dog Rating™ breakdown
Who actually got the work
MORE LIKE THIS: Garrett Wilson or DeVonta Smith? · Tee Higgins or DeVonta Smith? · Rashee Rice or DeVonta Smith?
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board
(values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw
projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team);
2025 actuals via nflverse.
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© 2026 TWOGUNGPT