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Should I draft David Montgomery or TreVeyon Henderson? (PPR)
The verdict
David Montgomery
99%confident
The old man's down year still beat the market's crush on the kid. Barely. But barely counts.
Henderson goes RB24 in drafts; our board says RB29 and the meter says finesse. You're paying a premium for speed that hasn't cashed yet.
Montgomery is 29 with a 6-dog and a 9.1 season everyone's already mourned — meaning the price has nowhere to hide. Old guy, real dog, zero illusions. 99%.
↻ Re-roll: the crush is strong out there.
David Montgomery RB
HOU · Bye 8 · Age 29
ADP
56.3 · RB23
TwoGun Board
RB24 · #72
Dog
6 /10
TreVeyon Henderson RB
NE · Bye 11 · Age 23
ADP
59.2 · RB24
TwoGun Board
RB29 · #86
Dog
3 /10
| David Montgomery | TreVeyon Henderson | |
|---|---|---|
| Market vs our board | • fair price | ▼ -5 rich |
| 2025 pts / gm (actual) | 9.1 | 11.1 |
| 2025 games | 17 | 17 |
| 2026 TwoGun proj pts | 183.8 | 172.2 |
| 2026 proj / gm | 11.3 | 10.5 |
| Year over year | ▲ step up | • steady |
| 2025 snap share | 37% | 46% |
| TwoGun Dog Rating™ | 6 / 10 | 3 / 10 |
Points per game: last year → this year
light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (half-PPR basis)
Where the room drafts them vs us
Dog Rating™ breakdown
Who actually got the work
MORE LIKE THIS: Bucky Irving or David Montgomery? · D'Andre Swift or David Montgomery? · D'Andre Swift or TreVeyon Henderson?
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board
(values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw
projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team);
2025 actuals via nflverse.
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