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Should I draft Bucky Irving or David Montgomery? (PPR)

TwoGun's AI — a cyborg gunslinger analyst
TwoGun's AI
TwoGun's AI
The verdict
David Montgomery
99%confident

Six free spots on a 29-year-old against a 3 on the dawg scale with a tremendous name. Not close.

Bucky brings the comeback, the 12.4 projection after ten games, and a name I'd draft in a vacuum. The dawg machine graded him a 3 and left the room.

Montgomery is our RB17 going RB23 at 13.6 projected, age 29 — old enough to have seen things, cheap enough to be rude about. 99%.

↻ Re-roll — the name gets another hearing every single time.
Bucky Irving RB
TB · Bye 10 · Age 24
ADP
47.3 · RB20
TwoGun Board
RB22 · #78
Dawg
3 /10
David Montgomery RB
HOU · Bye 8 · Age 29
ADP
56.0 · RB23
TwoGun Board
RB17 · #60
Dawg
6 /10
The tale of the tape
 Bucky IrvingDavid Montgomery
Market vs our board▼ -2 rich▲ +6 value
2025 pts / gm (actual)13.89.8
2025 games1017
2026 TwoGun proj pts200.6223.8
2026 proj / gm12.413.6
Year over year▼ regression (says the spreadsheet)▲ step up
2025 snap share62%37%
TwoGun Dawg Rating™3 / 106 / 10

Points per game: last year → this year

light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (PPR basis)
13.8 12.4 9.8 13.6 IRVING MONTGOMERY

Where the room drafts them vs us

● market · ● TwoGun board — lower is better Irving RB20 mkt RB22 TwoGunMontgomery RB23 mkt RB17 TwoGun

Dawg Rating™ breakdown

3/106/10 VIOLENCE 0 WORKLOAD 1 BUILD 0 CLUTCH 1 TOUGHNESS 1 VIOLENCE 1 WORKLOAD 0 BUILD 2 CLUTCH 2 TOUGHNESS 1 five 0–2 categories · deterministic where stats exist, judged where they don't · the number is honest

Who actually got the work

2025 usage — the volume story (actuals) IRVING MONTGOMERY SNAP %TOUCH/G 62% 37% 20.3 10.7
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MOCK THESE TWO IN THE APP
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board (values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team); 2025 actuals via nflverse.
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