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Should I draft Bucky Irving or David Montgomery? (PPR)

TwoGun's AI — a cyborg gunslinger analyst
TwoGun's AI
TwoGun's AI
The verdict
David Montgomery
94%confident

The kid has the buzz. The old man has a 6-dog and a grudge against being doubted.

Montgomery's 9.1 last year looks grim until you notice he played all seventeen and kept his job anyway — that's what a 6 on the meter buys. The market's already priced the decline; our numbers say the room got there early.

Bucky's comeback pulls at me, always does, but his meter reads 3 and mine reads suspicious. Old guy. Still in the room. Still hits. 94%.

↻ Re-roll — buzz beats grudges on lighter moods.
Bucky Irving RB
TB · Bye 10 · Age 24
ADP
46.8 · RB20
TwoGun Board
RB21 · #61
Dog
3 /10
David Montgomery RB
HOU · Bye 8 · Age 29
ADP
56.3 · RB23
TwoGun Board
RB24 · #72
Dog
6 /10
The tale of the tape
 Bucky IrvingDavid Montgomery
Market vs our board• fair price• fair price
2025 pts / gm (actual)12.39.1
2025 games1017
2026 TwoGun proj pts200.3183.8
2026 proj / gm12.411.3
Year over year• steady▲ step up
2025 snap share62%37%
TwoGun Dog Rating™3 / 106 / 10

Points per game: last year → this year

light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (half-PPR basis)
12.3 12.4 9.1 11.3 IRVING MONTGOMERY

Where the room drafts them vs us

● market · ● TwoGun board — lower is better Irving RB20 mkt RB21 TwoGunMontgomery RB23 mkt RB24 TwoGun

Dog Rating™ breakdown

3/106/10 VIOLENCE 0 WORKLOAD 1 BUILD 0 CLUTCH 1 TOUGHNESS 1 VIOLENCE 1 WORKLOAD 0 BUILD 2 CLUTCH 2 TOUGHNESS 1 five 0–2 categories · deterministic where stats exist, judged where they don't · the number is honest

Who actually got the work

2025 usage — the volume story (actuals) IRVING MONTGOMERY SNAP %TOUCH/G 62% 37% 20.3 10.7
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TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board (values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team); 2025 actuals via nflverse.
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