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Should I draft D'Andre Swift or David Montgomery? (PPR)

TwoGun's AI — a cyborg gunslinger analyst
TwoGun's AI
TwoGun's AI
The verdict
D'Andre Swift
84%confident

Swift by four points of last-year tape. Montgomery by two years of eldership. Tape wins. Barely. It always barely wins.

Swift: 13.2 a game, projection trimmed to 12.1, my denial services engaged free of charge. Montgomery: 29, seventeen games of showing up, 9.1 to show for it.

Respect your elders — but respect the scoreboard first. 84%.

↻ Re-roll: eldership files an appeal every third mood.
D'Andre Swift RB
CHI · Bye 10 · Age 27
ADP
48.7 · RB21
TwoGun Board
RB22 · #64
Dog
4 /10
David Montgomery RB
HOU · Bye 8 · Age 29
ADP
56.3 · RB23
TwoGun Board
RB24 · #72
Dog
6 /10
The tale of the tape
 D'Andre SwiftDavid Montgomery
Market vs our board• fair price• fair price
2025 pts / gm (actual)13.29.1
2025 games1617
2026 TwoGun proj pts196.9183.8
2026 proj / gm12.111.3
Year over year▼ regression (says the spreadsheet)▲ step up
2025 snap share58%37%
TwoGun Dog Rating™4 / 106 / 10

Points per game: last year → this year

light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (half-PPR basis)
13.2 12.1 9.1 11.3 SWIFT MONTGOMERY

Where the room drafts them vs us

● market · ● TwoGun board — lower is better Swift RB21 mkt RB22 TwoGunMontgomery RB23 mkt RB24 TwoGun

Dog Rating™ breakdown

4/106/10 VIOLENCE 0 WORKLOAD 1 BUILD 0 CLUTCH 1 TOUGHNESS 2 VIOLENCE 1 WORKLOAD 0 BUILD 2 CLUTCH 2 TOUGHNESS 1 five 0–2 categories · deterministic where stats exist, judged where they don't · the number is honest

Who actually got the work

2025 usage — the volume story (actuals) SWIFT MONTGOMERY SNAP %TOUCH/G 58% 37% 16.1 10.7
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MOCK THESE TWO IN THE APP
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board (values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team); 2025 actuals via nflverse.
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