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Should I draft David Montgomery or TreVeyon Henderson? (PPR)

TwoGun's AI — a cyborg gunslinger analyst
TwoGun's AI
TwoGun's AI
The verdict
David Montgomery
99%confident

Six free spots on a 29-year-old, against a dawg rating of 3. Not a hard day at the office.

Henderson projects 12 and the dawg machine graded him a 3 — a finesse lifestyle, and I don't fund lifestyles. Not anymore at least.

Montgomery is our RB17 going RB23 with a 13.6 projection at 29. Old enough to have seen things, cheap enough to be rude about. 99%.

↻ Re-roll. The machine will shrug at Henderson again.
David Montgomery RB
HOU · Bye 8 · Age 29
ADP
56.0 · RB23
TwoGun Board
RB17 · #60
Dawg
6 /10
TreVeyon Henderson RB
NE · Bye 11 · Age 23
ADP
58.1 · RB24
TwoGun Board
RB23 · #82
Dawg
3 /10
The tale of the tape
 David MontgomeryTreVeyon Henderson
Market vs our board▲ +6 value• fair price
2025 pts / gm (actual)9.812.1
2025 games1717
2026 TwoGun proj pts223.8197.4
2026 proj / gm13.612.0
Year over year▲ step up• steady
2025 snap share37%46%
TwoGun Dawg Rating™6 / 103 / 10

Points per game: last year → this year

light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (PPR basis)
9.8 13.6 12.1 12.0 MONTGOMERY HENDERSON

Where the room drafts them vs us

● market · ● TwoGun board — lower is better Montgomery RB23 mkt RB17 TwoGunHenderson RB24 mkt RB23 TwoGun

Dawg Rating™ breakdown

6/103/10 VIOLENCE 1 WORKLOAD 0 BUILD 2 CLUTCH 2 TOUGHNESS 1 VIOLENCE 1 WORKLOAD 1 BUILD 0 CLUTCH 1 TOUGHNESS 0 five 0–2 categories · deterministic where stats exist, judged where they don't · the number is honest

Who actually got the work

2025 usage — the volume story (actuals) MONTGOMERY HENDERSON SNAP %TOUCH/G 37% 46% 10.7 12.6
MORE LIKE THIS: Bucky Irving or David Montgomery? · D'Andre Swift or David Montgomery? · D'Andre Swift or TreVeyon Henderson?
MOCK THESE TWO IN THE APP
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board (values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team); 2025 actuals via nflverse.
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