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Should I draft David Montgomery or Jaylen Warren? (PPR)
The verdict
Jaylen Warren
86%confident
Warren out-scored him by three, got doubted by the projection, and shared a building with Rodgers. Sold.
The honest ledger: Warren 12.3 a game to Montgomery's 9.1, and the projection trimmed Warren anyway — which reads as a dare, and I take dares.
Our board leans Montgomery by seven spots and the elder circuit backed it. Overruled. Also Warren spent 2025 in Pittsburgh with a certain quarterback, and proximity is a stat now. It's my site. 86%.
↻ Re-roll — the board would love a word with me.
David Montgomery RB
HOU · Bye 8 · Age 29
ADP
56.3 · RB23
TwoGun Board
RB24 · #72
Dog
6 /10
Jaylen Warren RB
PIT · Bye 9 · Age 27
ADP
65.4 · RB26
TwoGun Board
RB31 · #89
Dog
6 /10
| David Montgomery | Jaylen Warren | |
|---|---|---|
| Market vs our board | • fair price | ▼ -5 rich |
| 2025 pts / gm (actual) | 9.1 | 12.3 |
| 2025 games | 17 | 16 |
| 2026 TwoGun proj pts | 183.8 | 169.0 |
| 2026 proj / gm | 11.3 | 10.3 |
| Year over year | ▲ step up | ▼ regression (says the spreadsheet) |
| 2025 snap share | 37% | 51% |
| TwoGun Dog Rating™ | 6 / 10 | 6 / 10 |
Points per game: last year → this year
light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (half-PPR basis)
Where the room drafts them vs us
Dog Rating™ breakdown
Who actually got the work
MORE LIKE THIS: Bucky Irving or David Montgomery? · D'Andre Swift or David Montgomery? · Quinshon Judkins or David Montgomery?
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board
(values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw
projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team);
2025 actuals via nflverse.
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© 2026 TWOGUNGPT
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© 2026 TWOGUNGPT