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Should I draft Ashton Jeanty or Chase Brown? (PPR)

TwoGun's AI — a cyborg gunslinger analyst
TwoGun's AI
TwoGun's AI
The verdict
Ashton Jeanty
79%confident

Brown is the better dawg and the better last season. Jeanty is the better projection. Nobody fired a single bias.

Brown's a 7 in the dawg file to Jeanty's 5 and averaged 16.6 last year to Jeanty's 14.4. On feel, it's Brown.

Jeanty projects 16.8 to Brown's 16 and the room drafts him three spots earlier for a reason. No grudges fired here, no cheese, no names — just the number. It happens. 79%.

↻ Re-roll — a clean page like this deserves a second opinion.
Ashton Jeanty RB
LV · Bye 13 · Age 22
ADP
12.3 · RB6
TwoGun Board
RB6 · #28
Dawg
5 /10
Chase Brown RB
CIN · Bye 6 · Age 26
ADP
16.0 · RB9
TwoGun Board
RB10 · #35
Dawg
7 /10
The tale of the tape
 Ashton JeantyChase Brown
Market vs our board• fair price• fair price
2025 pts / gm (actual)14.416.6
2025 games1717
2026 TwoGun proj pts276.1262.1
2026 proj / gm16.816.0
Year over year▲ step up• steady
2025 snap share78%67%
TwoGun Dawg Rating™5 / 107 / 10

Points per game: last year → this year

light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (PPR basis)
14.4 16.8 16.6 16.0 JEANTY BROWN

Where the room drafts them vs us

● market · ● TwoGun board — lower is better Jeanty RB6 mkt RB6 TwoGunBrown RB9 mkt RB10 TwoGun

Dawg Rating™ breakdown

5/107/10 VIOLENCE 1 WORKLOAD 2 BUILD 1 CLUTCH 1 TOUGHNESS 0 VIOLENCE 1 WORKLOAD 2 BUILD 1 CLUTCH 1 TOUGHNESS 2 five 0–2 categories · deterministic where stats exist, judged where they don't · the number is honest

Who actually got the work

2025 usage — the volume story (actuals) JEANTY BROWN SNAP %TOUCH/G 78% 67% 18.9 17.7
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TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board (values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team); 2025 actuals via nflverse.
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