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Should I draft De'Von Achane or Ashton Jeanty? (PPR)

TwoGun's AI — a cyborg gunslinger analyst
TwoGun's AI
TwoGun's AI
The verdict
De'Von Achane
99%confident

Achane averaged 18.1 last year. Jeanty averaged 12.8. The market calls them neighbors.

This is what a hype tax looks like: Jeanty goes RB6 off a 12.8 rookie season while our board files him RB9. Achane goes three picks later with an 8 on the dog scale and five extra points of actual production.

The projection cut Achane to 16.1 for missing a game — the haters found the one blemish. I found the discount. Also his name is De'Von Achane, which is worth a half-round on style alone. 99%.

↻ Re-roll — the hype tax occasionally pays out. Occasionally.
De'Von Achane RB
MIA · Bye 6 · Age 24
ADP
8.9 · RB5
TwoGun Board
RB5 · #25
Dog
8 /10
Ashton Jeanty RB
LV · Bye 13 · Age 22
ADP
12.4 · RB6
TwoGun Board
RB9 · #37
Dog
5 /10
The tale of the tape
 De'Von AchaneAshton Jeanty
Market vs our board• fair price▼ -3 rich
2025 pts / gm (actual)18.112.8
2025 games1617
2026 TwoGun proj pts263.7245.1
2026 proj / gm16.115.0
Year over year▼ regression (says the spreadsheet)▲ step up
2025 snap share75%78%
TwoGun Dog Rating™8 / 105 / 10

Points per game: last year → this year

light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (half-PPR basis)
18.1 16.1 12.8 15.0 ACHANE JEANTY

Where the room drafts them vs us

● market · ● TwoGun board — lower is better Achane RB5 mkt RB5 TwoGunJeanty RB6 mkt RB9 TwoGun

Dog Rating™ breakdown

8/105/10 VIOLENCE 2 WORKLOAD 2 BUILD 0 CLUTCH 2 TOUGHNESS 2 VIOLENCE 1 WORKLOAD 2 BUILD 1 CLUTCH 1 TOUGHNESS 0 five 0–2 categories · deterministic where stats exist, judged where they don't · the number is honest

Who actually got the work

2025 usage — the volume story (actuals) ACHANE JEANTY SNAP %TOUCH/G 75% 78% 19.1 18.9
MORE LIKE THIS: Jahmyr Gibbs or De'Von Achane? · Christian McCaffrey or De'Von Achane? · Christian McCaffrey or Ashton Jeanty?
MOCK THESE TWO IN THE APP
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board (values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team); 2025 actuals via nflverse.
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