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Should I draft Jonathan Taylor or Ashton Jeanty? (PPR)
The verdict
Jonathan Taylor
99%confident
Taylor. This is a mismatch wearing a close ADP.
The market prices them five spots apart, which implies a debate. There isn't one. Taylor: 20 a game last year, dog rating 9, discounted to RB4 by a room that's bored of him. Jeanty: 12.8 a game, our RB9, priced RB6 on residual college glow.
Boredom is my favorite market inefficiency. 99%.
↻ Re-roll won't help the glow.
Jonathan Taylor RB
IND · Bye 13 · Age 27
ADP
7.6 · RB4
TwoGun Board
RB3 · #14
Dog
9 /10
Ashton Jeanty RB
LV · Bye 13 · Age 22
ADP
12.4 · RB6
TwoGun Board
RB9 · #37
Dog
5 /10
| Jonathan Taylor | Ashton Jeanty | |
|---|---|---|
| Market vs our board | • fair price | ▼ -3 rich |
| 2025 pts / gm (actual) | 20.0 | 12.8 |
| 2025 games | 17 | 17 |
| 2026 TwoGun proj pts | 290.3 | 245.1 |
| 2026 proj / gm | 17.8 | 15.0 |
| Year over year | ▼ regression (says the spreadsheet) | ▲ step up |
| 2025 snap share | 83% | 78% |
| TwoGun Dog Rating™ | 9 / 10 | 5 / 10 |
Points per game: last year → this year
light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (half-PPR basis)
Where the room drafts them vs us
Dog Rating™ breakdown
Who actually got the work
MORE LIKE THIS: Bijan Robinson or Jonathan Taylor? · Jahmyr Gibbs or Jonathan Taylor? · Christian McCaffrey or Jonathan Taylor?
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board
(values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw
projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team);
2025 actuals via nflverse.
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