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Should I draft Ashton Jeanty or Chase Brown? (PPR)
The verdict
Ashton Jeanty
76%confident
Neither projection is exciting. One ceiling is. Fine — I'll take the ceiling.
Chase Brown is the steadier tape: 14.6 a game, all seventeen, a 7 on the dog meter. Jeanty's rookie year was 12.8 and our board is openly suspicious of his price.
But the projections land a point apart, and when it's that close I side with the 22-year-old the whole league is betting climbs. 76% — low for me, honest for this.
↻ Re-roll and the steady tape might win the argument.
Ashton Jeanty RB
LV · Bye 13 · Age 22
ADP
12.4 · RB6
TwoGun Board
RB9 · #37
Dog
5 /10
Chase Brown RB
CIN · Bye 6 · Age 26
ADP
16.0 · RB9
TwoGun Board
RB10 · #38
Dog
7 /10
| Ashton Jeanty | Chase Brown | |
|---|---|---|
| Market vs our board | ▼ -3 rich | • fair price |
| 2025 pts / gm (actual) | 12.8 | 14.6 |
| 2025 games | 17 | 17 |
| 2026 TwoGun proj pts | 245.1 | 234.5 |
| 2026 proj / gm | 15.0 | 14.4 |
| Year over year | ▲ step up | • steady |
| 2025 snap share | 78% | 67% |
| TwoGun Dog Rating™ | 5 / 10 | 7 / 10 |
Points per game: last year → this year
light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (half-PPR basis)
Where the room drafts them vs us
Dog Rating™ breakdown
Who actually got the work
MORE LIKE THIS: Christian McCaffrey or Ashton Jeanty? · Jonathan Taylor or Ashton Jeanty? · De'Von Achane or Ashton Jeanty?
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board
(values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw
projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team);
2025 actuals via nflverse.
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