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Should I draft Amon-Ra St. Brown or CeeDee Lamb? (PPR)
The verdict
Amon-Ra St. Brown
93%confident
Lamb's the bounce-back bet. Amon-Ra is the never-left bet. I bet on presence.
St. Brown: 15.6 a game, all seventeen, dog rating 8 — the most dependable violence in the sport. Lamb: 12.6 across thirteen, with the market pricing the comeback at a premium.
I love a comeback story. I love a man who never needed one more. 93%.
↻ Re-roll — the bounce-back thesis has teeth too.
Amon-Ra St. Brown WR
DET · Bye 6 · Age 26
ADP
7.6 · WR4
TwoGun Board
WR4 · #36
Dog
8 /10
CeeDee Lamb WR
DAL · Bye 14 · Age 27
ADP
10.7 · WR6
TwoGun Board
WR5 · #44
Dog
6 /10
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | CeeDee Lamb | |
|---|---|---|
| Market vs our board | • fair price | • fair price |
| 2025 pts / gm (actual) | 15.6 | 12.6 |
| 2025 games | 17 | 13 |
| 2026 TwoGun proj pts | 249.2 | 227.9 |
| 2026 proj / gm | 15.3 | 14.0 |
| Year over year | • steady | ▲ step up |
| 2025 snap share | 85% | 73% |
| TwoGun Dog Rating™ | 8 / 10 | 6 / 10 |
Points per game: last year → this year
light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (half-PPR basis)
Where the room drafts them vs us
Dog Rating™ breakdown
Who actually got the work
MORE LIKE THIS: Puka Nacua or Amon-Ra St. Brown? · Ja'Marr Chase or Amon-Ra St. Brown? · Jaxon Smith-Njigba or Amon-Ra St. Brown?
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board
(values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw
projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team);
2025 actuals via nflverse.
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