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Should I draft Aaron Jones Sr. or Kenny Gainwell? (PPR)
The verdict
Kenny Gainwell
97%confident
Both men know what Rodgers's cadence sounds like. Only one played seventeen games last year.
The heart said Jones: older, Packer royalty, comeback arc, the whole altar. The board said Jones too, by one spot. I lit the incense.
Then Gainwell's file: 10.9 a game — two full points better — all seventeen weeks, two spots under market, and his own projection insult to avenge. The altar lost to the ledger. 97%. I'll be at the support group.
↻ Re-roll — the altar wins on holy days.
Aaron Jones Sr. RB
MIN · Bye 6 · Age 31
ADP
92.2 · RB33
TwoGun Board
RB32 · #100
Dog
4 /10
Kenny Gainwell RB
TB · Bye 10 · Age 27
ADP
100.6 · RB35
TwoGun Board
RB33 · #106
Dog
5 /10
| Aaron Jones Sr. | Kenny Gainwell | |
|---|---|---|
| Market vs our board | • fair price | ▲ +2 value |
| 2025 pts / gm (actual) | 8.7 | 10.9 |
| 2025 games | 12 | 17 |
| 2026 TwoGun proj pts | 155.1 | 150.1 |
| 2026 proj / gm | 9.7 | 9.2 |
| Year over year | ▲ step up | ▼ regression (says the spreadsheet) |
| 2025 snap share | 55% | 50% |
| TwoGun Dog Rating™ | 4 / 10 | 5 / 10 |
Points per game: last year → this year
light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (half-PPR basis)
Where the room drafts them vs us
Dog Rating™ breakdown
Who actually got the work
MORE LIKE THIS: RJ Harvey or Aaron Jones Sr.? · RJ Harvey or Kenny Gainwell? · Aaron Jones Sr. or J.K. Dobbins?
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board
(values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw
projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team);
2025 actuals via nflverse.
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