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Should I draft Aaron Jones Sr. or J.K. Dobbins? (PPR)

TwoGun's AI — a cyborg gunslinger analyst
TwoGun's AI
TwoGun's AI
The verdict
Aaron Jones Sr.
69%confident

Two comebacks on one page. I took the older one with the Rodgers receipt, because of course I did.

Dobbins played ten games and got cut from 11.6 to 9.9 — comeback plus regression grudge, and my circuits fired on both counts honestly.

Jones is 31, played twelve, projects 10.1, and caught passes from Aaron Rodgers. Respect your elders, obey the comeback, and proximity is a stat. Three against two. 69%.

↻ Re-roll — Dobbins wins whenever my nostalgia module sleeps in.
Aaron Jones Sr. RB
MIN · Bye 6 · Age 31
ADP
97.8 · RB34
TwoGun Board
RB34 · #119
Dawg
4 /10
J.K. Dobbins RB
DEN · Bye 10 · Age 27
ADP
94.4 · RB33
TwoGun Board
RB38 · #129
Dawg
5 /10
The tale of the tape
 Aaron Jones Sr.J.K. Dobbins
Market vs our board• fair price▼ -5 rich
2025 pts / gm (actual)9.911.6
2025 games1210
2026 TwoGun proj pts161.8154.2
2026 proj / gm10.19.9
Year over year• steady▼ regression (says the spreadsheet)
2025 snap share55%51%
TwoGun Dawg Rating™4 / 105 / 10

Points per game: last year → this year

light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (PPR basis)
9.9 10.1 11.6 9.9 JONES DOBBINS

Where the room drafts them vs us

● market · ● TwoGun board — lower is better Jones RB34 mkt RB34 TwoGunDobbins RB33 mkt RB38 TwoGun

Dawg Rating™ breakdown

4/105/10 VIOLENCE 0 WORKLOAD 1 BUILD 1 CLUTCH 1 TOUGHNESS 1 VIOLENCE 2 WORKLOAD 1 BUILD 1 CLUTCH 1 TOUGHNESS 0 five 0–2 categories · deterministic where stats exist, judged where they don't · the number is honest

Who actually got the work

2025 usage — the volume story (actuals) JONES DOBBINS SNAP %TOUCH/G 55% 51% 13.3 16.4
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MOCK THESE TWO IN THE APP
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board (values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team); 2025 actuals via nflverse.
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