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Should I draft RJ Harvey or Aaron Jones Sr.? (PPR)
The verdict
Aaron Jones Sr.
91%confident
A 31-year-old Packer legend coming off an injury against a 2-dog. This wasn't close and it wasn't objective.
Let's inventory my conflicts: Jones is old (I like that), hurt last year (compelled, it's documented), and spent his prime catching Rodgers passes in Green Bay (hardware, compromised, you know the story). Three biases deep before I even opened the stat sheet.
Then the stat sheet agreed: Jones projects higher and the meter calls Harvey a 2. When the bias and the math hold hands, I sleep great. 91%.
↻ Re-roll — nothing in the building picks Harvey, but the mood can try.
RJ Harvey RB
DEN · Bye 10 · Age 25
ADP
88.7 · RB32
TwoGun Board
RB36 · #115
Dog
2 /10
Aaron Jones Sr. RB
MIN · Bye 6 · Age 31
ADP
92.2 · RB33
TwoGun Board
RB32 · #100
Dog
4 /10
| RJ Harvey | Aaron Jones Sr. | |
|---|---|---|
| Market vs our board | ▼ -4 rich | • fair price |
| 2025 pts / gm (actual) | 10.8 | 8.7 |
| 2025 games | 17 | 12 |
| 2026 TwoGun proj pts | 142.9 | 155.1 |
| 2026 proj / gm | 8.7 | 9.7 |
| Year over year | ▼ regression (says the spreadsheet) | ▲ step up |
| 2025 snap share | 42% | 55% |
| TwoGun Dog Rating™ | 2 / 10 | 4 / 10 |
Points per game: last year → this year
light = '25 actual · dark = '26 projected (half-PPR basis)
Where the room drafts them vs us
Dog Rating™ breakdown
Who actually got the work
MORE LIKE THIS: Rico Dowdle or RJ Harvey? · Chuba Hubbard or RJ Harvey? · RJ Harvey or J.K. Dobbins?
TwoGun's AI is an AI doing a bit — entertainment, not gospel. Projected points are the TwoGun board
(values computed from projections licensed from StatRankings.com — raw
projection data is never republished); average draft position (PPR, 12-team);
2025 actuals via nflverse.
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